Copa EspÃrito Santo · Jul 29, 2025 23:00
Desportiva ES
PWR 59
Porto Vitória
PWR 67
PWR 67
2 - 1
FT
Desportiva ES
PWR 59
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Desportiva ES Win
Prediction
3-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (25%)
1-0 (18%)
0-1 (17%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (6%)
0-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense68
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G0.9
Attack51
Defense75
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.7
Porto Vitória Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Desportiva ES Form
WWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS25%
Under 2.584%
Porto Vitór… Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Desportiva … Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.4
Over 3.55%
BTTS Yes19%
Home Clean Sheet71%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (26%)
0-0 (25%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Porto Vitóriavs
0.67
Desportiva ESDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Porto Vitór…+1
Gap#2
Desportiva …
WR 68% 47 pts
WR 50% 42 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto Vitória | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 20 | 47 |
| Desportiva ES | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 17 | 42 |
Porto Vitória
12.0%
| Jul 22 | Porto V… v Desport… | 1-0 |
| Jul 15 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 3-0 |
| Jul 08 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Jun 29 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | Porto V… v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Jun 18 | Porto V… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Jun 04 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 2-3 |
| May 28 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-2 |
| May 20 | Porto V… v Capixab… | 2-1 |
| May 07 | Porto V… v Real No… | 1-1 |
Desportiva ES
10.0%
| Jul 22 | Desport… v Porto V… | 1-0 |
| Jul 13 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 2-0 |
| Jul 10 | Desport… v Santos | 1-3 |
| Jul 05 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 0-0 |
| Jun 29 | Desport… v Vilavel… | 0-1 |
| Jun 18 | Desport… v Porto V… | 2-1 |
| Jun 07 | Desport… v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 4-1 |
| May 16 | Desport… v Serra T… | 0-2 |
| May 13 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jul 22, 2025 | Desportiva ES | 1-0 | Porto Vitória |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Desportiva ES | 2-1 | Porto Vitória |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Porto Vitória | 0-3 | Desportiva ES |
| Aug 02, 2024 | Porto Vitória | 1-0 | Desportiva ES |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Desportiva ES | 0-2 | Porto Vitória |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Porto Vitória | 1-0 | Desportiva ES |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Desportiva ES | 2-0 | Porto Vitória |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Porto Vitória | 1-1 | Desportiva ES |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Desportiva ES | 2-2 | Porto Vitória |
Key Factors
Porto Vitória in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.