Paraibano 2 · Oct 08, 2025 23:00
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 62
Confiança
PWR 58
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 62
1 - 3
FT
Confiança
PWR 58
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (17%)
1-0 (13%)
2-1 (5%)
0-0 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack78
Defense54
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.3
Attack51
Defense75
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.7
Atlético Alago… Form
DDDWL
STABLE
Confiança Form
DWDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS23%
Under 2.547%
Atlético Al… Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Confiança Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.519%
BTTS Yes40%
Home Clean Sheet22%
Away Clean Sheet49%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (16%)
0-2 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
0-0 (11%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
Atlético Alago…vs
0.28
ConfiançaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Atlético Al…+1
Gap#2
Confiança
WR 54% 24 pts
WR 46% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Alagoi… | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 24 |
| Confiança | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
Atlético Alago…
10.0%
| Oct 05 | Atlétic… v Guarabi… | 2-2 |
| Oct 04 | Atlétic… v Caninde | 0-0 |
| Sep 29 | Atlétic… v Guarabi… | 2-2 |
| Sep 27 | Atlétic… v América… | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Atlétic… v São Pau… | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Atlétic… v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Sep 18 | Atlétic… v Miramar | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | Atlétic… v Frei Pa… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Atlétic… v Queimad… | 3-0 |
| Sep 11 | Atlétic… v Serrano… | 3-3 |
Confiança
12.0%
| Sep 24 | Confian… v São Pau… | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Confian… v Miramar | 1-0 |
| Sep 17 | Confian… v Guarabi… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Confian… v Cruzeiro | 1-1 |
| Sep 11 | Confian… v Queimad… | 1-1 |
| Sep 08 | Confian… v Sabugy | 0-3 |
| Sep 06 | Confian… v Bastia | 5-0 |
| Sep 04 | Confian… v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Sep 04 | Confian… v Bastia | 1-4 |
| Aug 31 | Confian… v Serrano… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 04, 2025 | Confiança | 0-1 | Atlético Alag… |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Confiança | 4-0 | Atlético Alag… |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Atlético Alag… | 5-1 | Confiança |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Confiança | 0-3 | Atlético Alag… |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Confiança | 0-4 | Atlético Alag… |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Confiança | 2-1 | Atlético Alag… |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Atlético Alag… | 0-0 | Confiança |
| Feb 08, 2022 | Confiança | 2-2 | Atlético Alag… |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Atlético Alag… | 1-1 | Confiança |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Confiança | 2-1 | Atlético Alag… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.