Paraibano 2 · Oct 05, 2025 20:00
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 62
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 62
2 - 2
FT
Guarabira
PWR 54
PWR 54
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Atlético Alagoinhas to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (15%)
0-0 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack78
Defense54
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.3
Attack64
Defense53
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.3
Atlético Alago… Form
DDWLW
STABLE
Guarabira Form
DWLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS17%
Under 2.551%
Atlético Al… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Guarabira Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.541%
BTTS Yes64%
Home Clean Sheet24%
Away Clean Sheet16%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-2 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
2-0 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Atlético Alago…vs
0.20
GuarabiraDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Atlético Al…+2
Gap#3
Guarabira
WR 54% 24 pts
WR 42% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Alagoi… | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 24 |
| Guarabira | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 20 |
Atlético Alago…
12.0%
| Oct 04 | Atlétic… v Caninde | 0-0 |
| Sep 29 | Atlétic… v Guarabi… | 2-2 |
| Sep 27 | Atlétic… v América… | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Atlétic… v São Pau… | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Atlétic… v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Sep 18 | Atlétic… v Miramar | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | Atlétic… v Frei Pa… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Atlétic… v Queimad… | 3-0 |
| Sep 11 | Atlétic… v Serrano… | 3-3 |
| Sep 07 | Atlétic… v Cruzeiro | 3-0 |
Guarabira
12.0%
| Sep 29 | Guarabi… v Atlétic… | 2-2 |
| Sep 25 | Guarabi… v Miramar | 1-4 |
| Sep 21 | Guarabi… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Sep 17 | Guarabi… v Confian… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Guarabi… v Sabugy | 2-0 |
| Sep 11 | Guarabi… v Miramar | 1-1 |
| Sep 08 | Guarabi… v Serrano… | 1-2 |
| Sep 04 | Guarabi… v Spartax | 2-2 |
| Aug 31 | Guarabi… v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Guarabi… v Atlétic… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 29, 2025 | Guarabira | 2-2 | Atlético Alag… |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Atlético Alag… | 2-3 | Guarabira |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.