African Nations Championship · Aug 26, 2025 17:30
Morocco
PWR 84
Arsenal
PWR 21
Morocco
PWR 84
1 - 1
FT
Arsenal
PWR 21
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
Morocco Win
Prediction
4-2
Score
68%
Confidence
GOLD
Stability GOLD
Stability GOLD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
2-0 (21%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (11%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTHOME_STREAK
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack91
Defense79
Goals/G2.6
Conc/G0.6
Attack20
Defense40
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G2.0
Morocco Form
WWWDD
UP
Arsenal Form
DWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS18%
Under 2.563%
Morocco Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Arsenal Goals
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.6
Over 3.58%
BTTS Yes26%
Home Clean Sheet62%
Away Clean Sheet31%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (23%)
0-0 (19%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Moroccovs
0.24
ArsenalDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Morocco+1
Gap#2
Arsenal
WR 80% 13 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| Arsenal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
Morocco
16.0%
| Aug 14 | Morocco v Zambia | 3-1 |
| Jun 09 | Morocco v Hiberni… | 1-0 |
| Jun 06 | Morocco v Tunisia | 2-0 |
| Apr 19 | Morocco v Italy U… | 0-0 |
| Apr 15 | Morocco v Côte d'… | 0-0 |
| Apr 10 | Morocco v South A… | 3-1 |
| Apr 03 | Morocco v Zambia | 0-0 |
| Mar 30 | Morocco v England | 5-0 |
| Jun 07 | Morocco v Zambia | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Morocco v Zambia | 0-1 |
Arsenal
8.0%
| Aug 23 | Arsenal v Torpedo… | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Arsenal v Manches… | 0-1 |
| Aug 15 | Arsenal v Smorgon | 1-1 |
| Aug 10 | Arsenal v MKK-Dne… | 0-4 |
| Aug 06 | Arsenal v Villarr… | 2-3 |
| Aug 02 | Arsenal v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Jul 31 | Arsenal v Tottenh… | 0-1 |
| Jul 27 | Arsenal v Molodec… | 1-0 |
| Jul 27 | Arsenal v Tainan … | 2-1 |
| Jul 24 | Arsenal v Granada | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 09, 2020 | Morocco | 3-1 | Arsenal |
Key Factors
Morocco in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.