Premier League · Mar 05, 2026 20:30
Portmore United
PWR 35
Waterhouse
PWR 35
Portmore United
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Waterhouse
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (40%)1-0 (29%)2-0 (10%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (2%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.78x
Over 2.5
6%
Under 2.5
94%
94%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Portmore United
DWWWD
STABLE
Waterhouse
WDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Portmore Unitedvs
0.20
WaterhouseGoal Probability
Portmore Un…
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Waterhouse
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Portmore Un…+1
Gap#5
Waterhouse
WR 42% 43 pts
WR 54% 37 pts
Portmore United
16.0%
| Mar 02 | Portmor… v Mount P… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Portmor… v Arnett … | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Portmor… v Harbour… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Portmor… v Cavalie… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Portmor… v Racing … | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Portmor… v Molynes… | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Portmor… v Montego… | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Portmor… v Spanish… | 4-0 |
| Jan 11 | Portmor… v Chapelt… | 0-0 |
| Jan 05 | Portmor… v Tivoli … | 2-2 |
Waterhouse
18.0%
| Mar 03 | Waterho… v Spanish… | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Waterho… v Tivoli … | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Waterho… v Dunbeho… | 1-2 |
| Feb 02 | Waterho… v Treasur… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Waterho… v Mount P… | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Waterho… v Chapelt… | 0-1 |
| Jan 20 | Waterho… v Arnett … | 0-1 |
| Jan 15 | Waterho… v Harbour… | 1-1 |
| Jan 12 | Waterho… v Cavalie… | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | Waterho… v Racing … | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 12, 2025 | Waterhouse | 1-2 | Portmore Unit… |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Portmore Unit… | 0-2 | Waterhouse |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Waterhouse | 1-0 | Portmore Unit… |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Portmore Unit… | 0-0 | Waterhouse |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Portmore Unit… | 0-0 | Waterhouse |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Waterhouse | 1-1 | Portmore Unit… |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Portmore Unit… | 1-1 | Waterhouse |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Waterhouse | 1-1 | Portmore Unit… |
| Apr 26, 2022 | Waterhouse | 3-0 | Portmore Unit… |
| Feb 06, 2022 | Portmore Unit… | 0-4 | Waterhouse |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
48%
Market
46%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Portmore United in strong form (3W in last 5)
Waterhouse in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.