FA Cup · Feb 18, 2026 19:45

Aberdeen
PWR 80
2 - 0
FT

Motherwell
PWR 53
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Aberdeen to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FA Cup
Power & Form
Attack84
Defense76
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G0.7
Attack44
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Aberdeen Form LLWWL
DOWN
Motherwell Form WDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS33%
Under 2.574%
Aberdeen Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Motherwell Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 93% 7% OVER
1.5 76% 25% OVER
2.5 51% 49% -
3.5 29% 71% UNDER
4.5 14% 86% UNDER
5.5 6% 94% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.7
Over 3.529%
BTTS Yes41%
Home Clean Sheet12%
Away Clean Sheet53%
Top Correct Scores:
0-2 (14%) 0-1 (14%) 0-3 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Aberdeen
vs
0.67
Motherwell
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum65%
Standings50%
Market36%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Aberdeen
+39
Gap
#42
Motherwell
WR 80% 26 pts WR 50% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Aberdeen1082024726
Motherwell4202546
Aberdeen 8.0%
Feb 15 Aberdeen v Motherw… 2-0
Jan 31 Aberdeen v Kilmarn… 3-0
Jan 24 Aberdeen v Livings… 6-2
Jan 18 Aberdeen v Raith R… 1-0
Jan 11 Aberdeen v Rangers… 0-2
Jan 06 Aberdeen v Rangers… 2-0
Jan 03 Aberdeen v Falkirk 1-0
Dec 30 Aberdeen v Hiberni… 2-0
Dec 27 Aberdeen v Dundee … 1-1
Dec 21 Aberdeen v Celtic 3-1
Motherwell 18.0%
Feb 15 Motherw… v Aberdeen 2-0
Feb 11 Motherw… v Rangers… 1-1
Jan 31 Motherw… v Livings… 0-2
Jan 24 Motherw… v Kilmarn… 4-0
Jan 17 Motherw… v Ross Co… 1-0
Jan 10 Motherw… v Hiberni… 1-1
Jan 03 Motherw… v St. Mir… 2-0
Dec 30 Motherw… v Celtic 2-0
Dec 27 Motherw… v Rangers… 1-0
Dec 20 Motherw… v Dundee 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Feb 15, 2026 Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen
Nov 09, 2025 Aberdeen 1-1 Motherwell
Sep 27, 2025 Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen
Sep 20, 2025 Aberdeen 0-1 Motherwell
Mar 29, 2025 Aberdeen 4-1 Motherwell
Jan 05, 2025 Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen
Sep 14, 2024 Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell
Apr 27, 2024 Aberdeen 1-0 Motherwell
Mar 16, 2024 Motherwell 0-1 Aberdeen
Feb 14, 2024 Aberdeen 3-3 Motherwell
Key Factors
Motherwell in strong form (4W in last 5)
Aberdeen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.