Copa De La Liga Auf · Jan 23, 2026 23:30
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 49
Boston River
PWR 56
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 49
2 - 2
FT
Boston River
PWR 56
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (17%)
0-1 (17%)
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (13%)
0-2 (9%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.9%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense77
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.7
Attack53
Defense65
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.0
Peñarol Montev… Form
DWDDL
STABLE
Boston River Form
DWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS33%
Under 2.574%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Boston River Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 48% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.6
Over 3.58%
BTTS Yes26%
Home Clean Sheet61%
Away Clean Sheet33%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (22%)
0-0 (20%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Peñarol Montev…vs
1.00
Boston RiverDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Peñarol Mon…-2
Gap#1
Boston River
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 50% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Montevi… | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Boston River | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
Peñarol Montev…
10.0%
| Jan 22 | Peñarol… v Colo-Co… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 0-2 |
| Jan 13 | Peñarol… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 2-2 |
| Nov 16 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 0-2 |
Boston River
14.0%
| Jan 18 | Boston … v Albion … | 1-1 |
| Jan 12 | Boston … v Danubio | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Boston … v Cerrito | 0-0 |
| Oct 31 | Boston … v Bray Wa… | 2-2 |
| Oct 27 | Boston … v Miramar | 0-4 |
| Oct 17 | Boston … v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Oct 11 | Boston … v Cerro L… | 2-2 |
| Oct 04 | Boston … v Juventus | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | Boston … v Plaza C… | 6-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 27, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Boston River |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Boston River | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Boston River |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Boston River | 1-3 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 05, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Boston River | 0-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Boston River |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.