Primeira Liga · Feb 22, 2026 20:30

FC Porto
PWR 35

Rio Ave FC
PWR 35

FC Porto
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Rio Ave FC
PWR 35
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
FC Porto Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
82%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 82%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMESODDS_CONFIRM_75
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Bookmaker consensus confirms HOME at 85%H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 42% away = VERY HIGHConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Porto Form
LDWDW
STABLE
Rio Ave FC Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS29%
Under 2.543%
FC Porto Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Rio Ave FC Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.6
Over 3.549%
BTTS Yes31%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet4%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (14%)
4-0 (12%)
1-0 (9%)
5-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
FC Portovs
0.35
Rio Ave FCDecision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)CS70+M80 (81.0%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)ODDS55+CS68 (80.3%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)ODDS60+DR<22 (78.0%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)CS72+DR<20 (77.4%)xG0.7+CS70 (77.4%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)CS70+M75+S65 (76.8%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings91%
Market99%
League Standings
#1
FC Porto+14
Gap#15
Rio Ave FC
WR 83% 65 pts
WR 17% 21 pts
FC Porto
12.0%
| Feb 18 | FC Porto v Spartak⦠| 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Porto v União d⦠| 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | FC Porto v Nacional | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | FC Porto v Sportin⦠| 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | FC Porto v Académi⦠| 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | FC Porto v Artsakh | 3-0 |
| Feb 02 | FC Porto v Casa Pi⦠| 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | FC Porto v Rodina ⦠| 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | FC Porto v Farense | 2-3 |
| Jan 29 | FC Porto v Rangers⦠| 3-1 |
Rio Ave FC
0.0%
| Feb 16 | Rio Ave⦠v Moreire⦠| 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Rio Ave⦠v SC Braga | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Rio Ave⦠v Arouca | 0-3 |
| Jan 25 | Rio Ave⦠v Nacional | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Rio Ave⦠v Benfica | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Rio Ave⦠v Casa Pi⦠| 3-1 |
| Dec 28 | Rio Ave⦠v Sportin⦠| 4-0 |
| Dec 20 | Rio Ave⦠v GIL Vic⦠| 2-2 |
| Dec 13 | Rio Ave⦠v Guimara⦠| 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Rio Ave⦠v AVS | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 19, 2025 | Rio Ave FC | 0-3 | FC Porto |
| Feb 03, 2025 | Rio Ave FC | 2-2 | FC Porto |
| Aug 24, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Aug 24, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Feb 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 0-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Feb 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 0-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Rio Ave FC | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Feb 18, 2023 | FC Porto | 1-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Rio Ave FC | 3-1 | FC Porto |
| Dec 15, 2021 | FC Porto | 1-0 | Rio Ave FC |
Key Factors
Rio Ave FC struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.