Primeira Liga · Feb 22, 2026 20:30

FC Porto
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Rio Ave FC
PWR 35
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
FC Porto Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
82%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 82%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMESODDS_CONFIRM_75
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Bookmaker consensus confirms HOME at 85%H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 42% away = VERY HIGHConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Porto Form LDWDW
STABLE
Rio Ave FC Form LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS29%
Under 2.543%
FC Porto Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Rio Ave FC Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 88% 12% OVER
2.5 70% 30% OVER
3.5 49% 51% -
4.5 30% 70% UNDER
5.5 16% 84% UNDER
6.5 8% 92% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.6
Over 3.549%
BTTS Yes31%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet4%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 4-0 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 5-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
FC Porto
vs
0.35
Rio Ave FC
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)CS70+M80 (81.0%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)ODDS55+CS68 (80.3%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)ODDS60+DR<22 (78.0%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)CS72+DR<20 (77.4%)xG0.7+CS70 (77.4%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)CS70+M75+S65 (76.8%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings91%
Market99%
League Standings
#1
FC Porto
+14
Gap
#15
Rio Ave FC
WR 83% 65 pts WR 17% 21 pts
FC Porto 12.0%
Feb 18 FC Porto v Spartak… 3-1
Feb 15 FC Porto v UniĆ£o d… 2-2
Feb 15 FC Porto v Nacional 0-1
Feb 09 FC Porto v Sportin… 1-1
Feb 06 FC Porto v AcadĆ©mi… 3-1
Feb 04 FC Porto v Artsakh 3-0
Feb 02 FC Porto v Casa Pi… 2-1
Feb 01 FC Porto v Rodina … 0-1
Jan 31 FC Porto v Farense 2-3
Jan 29 FC Porto v Rangers… 3-1
Rio Ave FC 0.0%
Feb 16 Rio Ave… v Moreire… 1-2
Feb 08 Rio Ave… v SC Braga 3-0
Jan 31 Rio Ave… v Arouca 0-3
Jan 25 Rio Ave… v Nacional 4-0
Jan 17 Rio Ave… v Benfica 0-2
Jan 04 Rio Ave… v Casa Pi… 3-1
Dec 28 Rio Ave… v Sportin… 4-0
Dec 20 Rio Ave… v GIL Vic… 2-2
Dec 13 Rio Ave… v Guimara… 0-1
Dec 06 Rio Ave… v AVS 1-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 19, 2025 Rio Ave FC 0-3 FC Porto
Feb 03, 2025 Rio Ave FC 2-2 FC Porto
Aug 24, 2024 FC Porto 2-0 Rio Ave FC
Aug 24, 2024 FC Porto 2-0 Rio Ave FC
Feb 03, 2024 FC Porto 0-0 Rio Ave FC
Feb 03, 2024 FC Porto 0-0 Rio Ave FC
Aug 28, 2023 Rio Ave FC 1-2 FC Porto
Feb 18, 2023 FC Porto 1-0 Rio Ave FC
Aug 28, 2022 Rio Ave FC 3-1 FC Porto
Dec 15, 2021 FC Porto 1-0 Rio Ave FC
Key Factors
Rio Ave FC struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.