Primeira Liga · Feb 21, 2026 18:00
Benfica
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
AVS
PWR 35
PWR 35
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
Benfica Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
86%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 86%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Benfica Form
LWWDW
STABLE
AVS Form
WLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS62%
Under 2.539%
Benfica Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
AVS Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.1
Over 3.559%
BTTS Yes45%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet3%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (12%)
4-0 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (7%)
5-0 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Benficavs
0.99
AVSDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings93%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Benfica+15
Gap#18
AVS
WR 67% 58 pts
WR 0% 9 pts
Benfica
14.0%
| Feb 17 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Benfica v Felguei… | 4-2 |
| Feb 13 | Benfica v Santa C… | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Benfica v Portimo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Benfica v Vitória… | 5-1 |
| Feb 08 | Benfica v Alverca | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Benfica v Tondela | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Benfica v Lusitân… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Benfica v Estrela… | 4-0 |
AVS
6.0%
| Feb 15 | AVS v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Feb 09 | AVS v Famalic… | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | AVS v Sportin… | 3-2 |
| Feb 02 | AVS v SC Braga | 0-4 |
| Jan 23 | AVS v Casa Pi… | 3-3 |
| Jan 17 | AVS v Arouca | 0-1 |
| Jan 03 | AVS v Moreire… | 0-2 |
| Dec 29 | AVS v FC Porto | 2-0 |
| Dec 21 | AVS v Nacional | 2-2 |
| Dec 17 | AVS v Guimara… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Sep 20, 2025 | AVS | 0-3 | Benfica |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Benfica | 6-0 | AVS |
| Dec 15, 2024 | AVS | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 15, 2024 | AVS | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Benfica | 4-1 | AVS |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
AVS struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.