Championship · Mar 03, 2026 19:45
Arbroath
PWR 35
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
Arbroath
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Arbroath to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (4%)
2-0 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk39%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 96% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Arbroath Form
DWDLD
STABLE
Ayr Utd Form
LLDDW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS69%
Under 2.538%
Arbroath Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Ayr Utd Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.6
Over 3.549%
BTTS Yes68%
Home Clean Sheet24%
Away Clean Sheet11%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Arbroathvs
1.19
Ayr UtdDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings58%
Market44%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Arbroath+2
Gap#5
Ayr Utd
WR 46% 42 pts
WR 29% 34 pts
Arbroath
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Arbroath v Partick | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Arbroath v Dunferm… | 4-2 |
| Feb 03 | Arbroath v Airdrie… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Arbroath v Queen's… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Arbroath v Morton | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Arbroath v Airdrie… | 2-2 |
| Jan 13 | Arbroath v East Fi… | 3-0 |
| Jan 10 | Arbroath v Raith R… | 2-3 |
| Jan 03 | Arbroath v ST John… | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | Arbroath v Airdrie… | 1-1 |
Ayr Utd
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Ayr Utd v Inverne… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Ayr Utd v Ross Co… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 3-3 |
| Jan 31 | Ayr Utd v Raith R… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ayr Utd v Partick | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Ayr Utd v Dundee … | 2-0 |
| Jan 13 | Ayr Utd v Stranra… | 4-1 |
| Jan 10 | Ayr Utd v Airdrie… | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | Ayr Utd v Morton | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 15, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 1-1 | Arbroath |
| Aug 01, 2025 | Arbroath | 1-1 | Ayr Utd |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 4-0 | Arbroath |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 5-0 | Arbroath |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 2-0 | Arbroath |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Arbroath | 0-0 | Ayr Utd |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Arbroath | 2-1 | Ayr Utd |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Arbroath | 2-0 | Ayr Utd |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Ayr Utd | 2-2 | Arbroath |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Arbroath | 0-2 | Ayr Utd |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.