Ligue 1 · Feb 21, 2026 20:05
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Metz
PWR 22
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
3 - 0
FT
Metz
PWR 22
63% H
21% D
16% A
Final Verdict
Paris Saint Germain Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk19%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack32
Defense31
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.3
Paris Saint Ge… Form
WLWWD
STABLE
Metz Form
LDLLL
STABLE
Key Players
Paris Saint Germain
Nuno Mendes
8.01G
Bradley Barcola
7.11G1A
Senny Mayulu
7.21G
Vitinha
7.6
Warren ZaĂŻre-Emery
6.71A
Metz
Koffi Kouao
7.21G1A
Habib Diallo
6.91G
Benjamin Stambouli
7.5
Boubacar Traoré
6.7
Gauthier Hein
6.5
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS44%
Under 2.538%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Metz Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.3
Over 3.562%
BTTS Yes45%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet3%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (11%)
4-0 (11%)
2-0 (9%)
5-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
4-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05
Paris Saint Ge…vs
0.61
MetzDecision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings95%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Paris Saint…+17
Gap#18
Metz
WR 91% 57 pts
WR 8% 13 pts
Paris Saint Ge…
14.0%
| Feb 17 | Paris S… v Monaco | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 5-0 |
| Feb 01 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Paris S… v Newcast… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Paris S… v Auxerre | 0-1 |
| Jan 20 | Paris S… v Sportin… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Paris S… v Lille | 3-0 |
| Jan 12 | Paris S… v Paris FC | 0-1 |
| Jan 08 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 2-2 |
Metz
2.0%
| Feb 15 | Metz v Auxerre | 1-3 |
| Feb 06 | Metz v Lille | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Metz v Angers | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Metz v Lyon | 2-5 |
| Jan 18 | Metz v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Metz v Montpel… | 0-4 |
| Jan 04 | Metz v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Metz v Biesheim | 0-3 |
| Dec 13 | Metz v Paris S… | 2-3 |
| Dec 07 | Metz v Auxerre | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Metz | 2-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| May 19, 2024 | Metz | 0-2 | Paris Saint G… |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 3-1 | Metz |
| May 21, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 5-0 | Metz |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Metz | 1-2 | Paris Saint G… |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Metz | 1-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Paris Saint G… | 1-0 | Metz |
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5)
Metz struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.