Baiano - 1 · Feb 22, 2026 19:00
Figueirense
PWR 33
Porto BA
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT
Figueirense
PWR 33
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
Porto BA Win
Prediction
1-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (13%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 65% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack29
Defense40
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.7
Porto BA Form
WDWLD
STABLE
Figueirense Form
LLDLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS43%
Under 2.548%
Porto BA Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Figueirense Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.9
Over 3.513%
BTTS Yes37%
Home Clean Sheet46%
Away Clean Sheet31%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (17%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Porto BAvs
0.65
FigueirenseDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Porto BA-1
Gap#8
Figueirense
WR 25% 13 pts
WR 29% 16 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto BA | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 13 |
| Figueirense | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 16 |
Porto BA
12.0%
| Feb 18 | Porto BA v Serra B… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Porto BA v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Porto BA v GalĂcia | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Porto BA v Bahia | 3-1 |
| Jan 28 | Porto BA v Barcelo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Porto BA v Bahia d… | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Porto BA v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Porto BA v Jequié | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Porto BA v Jataien… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Porto BA v Barcelo… | 2-1 |
Figueirense
2.0%
| Feb 21 | Figueir… v Peneden… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Figueir… v Barcelo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Figueir… v Piauà | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Figueir… v Bahia | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Figueir… v Parnahy… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Figueir… v Joinvil… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Figueir… v CSE | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Figueir… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 30, 2025 | Figueirense | 0-2 | Porto BA |
Key Factors
Figueirense struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.