Tocantinense · Feb 21, 2026 21:00
Palmeiras
PWR 45
Capital
PWR 57
PWR 57
1 - 1
FT
Palmeiras
PWR 45
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
Capital Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack49
Defense71
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.8
Attack58
Defense42
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.7
Capital Form
LWLDL
STABLE
Palmeiras Form
DLWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS47%
Under 2.556%
Capital Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Palmeiras Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.539%
BTTS Yes49%
Home Clean Sheet9%
Away Clean Sheet46%
Top Correct Scores:
0-2 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
0-3 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
1-3 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Capitalvs
1.51
PalmeirasDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Capital+8
Gap#9
Palmeiras
WR 50% 34 pts
WR 33% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 34 |
| Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Capital
6.0%
| Feb 19 | Capital v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Capital v União C… | 3-2 |
| Feb 13 | Capital v Indepen… | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Capital v Gurupi | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Capital v Bela Vi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Capital v Guarabi… | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Capital v AraguaĂ… | 1-1 |
| Apr 23 | Capital v Remo | 1-1 |
| Apr 23 | Capital v Remo | 1-1 |
| Apr 19 | Capital v Santos | 1-3 |
Palmeiras
12.0%
| Feb 15 | Palmeir… v GuaranĂ… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Palmeir… v Tocanti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Palmeir… v Interna… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Palmeir… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Palmeir… v Guarabi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Palmeir… v Vitoria | 5-1 |
| Feb 01 | Palmeir… v Botafog… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Palmeir… v AraguaĂ… | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Palmeir… v Atletic… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Palmeir… v São Pau… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 12, 2022 | Palmeiras | 1-1 | Capital |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Palmeiras | 1-0 | Capital |
Key Factors
Capital struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.