Tocantinense · Feb 22, 2026 19:00
Araguaína
PWR 46
Bela Vista TO
PWR 41
PWR 41
1 - 1
FT
Araguaína
PWR 46
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (18%)
0-0 (16%)
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense57
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Attack35
Defense70
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Bela Vista TO Form
LLWLD
DOWN
Araguaína Form
LWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS34%
Under 2.572%
Bela Vista … Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Araguaína Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.0
Over 3.515%
BTTS Yes36%
Home Clean Sheet25%
Away Clean Sheet52%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (18%)
0-0 (13%)
0-2 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Bela Vista TOvs
1.13
AraguaínaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum45%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Bela Vista …+2
Gap#6
Araguaína
WR 28% 20 pts
WR 31% 16 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bela Vista TO | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 20 |
| Araguaína | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
Bela Vista TO
6.0%
| Feb 14 | Bela Vi… v Gurupi | 5-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bela Vi… v União C… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Bela Vi… v Capital | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Bela Vi… v Tocanti… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Bela Vi… v Guarabi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Bela Vi… v União C… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Bela Vi… v Capital | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Bela Vi… v Tocanti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | Bela Vi… v Araguaí… | 1-4 |
| Mar 05 | Bela Vi… v Araguaí… | 1-1 |
Araguaína
8.0%
| Feb 18 | Araguaí… v Primave… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Araguaí… v Guarabi… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Araguaí… v Tocanti… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Araguaí… v Palmeir… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Araguaí… v Gurupi | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Araguaí… v Capital | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Araguaí… v União C… | 0-0 |
| Mar 29 | Araguaí… v União C… | 1-1 |
| Mar 23 | Araguaí… v Capital | 0-3 |
| Mar 18 | Araguaí… v Capital | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 09, 2025 | Bela Vista TO | 1-4 | Araguaína |
| Mar 05, 2024 | Araguaína | 1-1 | Bela Vista TO |
Key Factors
Bela Vista TO struggling (3L in last 5)
Araguaína struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.