Back Stats
Premier League · Feb 20, 2026 18:00

Al Ahli
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Al Najma
PWR 35
47% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al Ahli Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (14%)0-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS No
No 19%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al Ahli LDWLL
STABLE
Al Najma WLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Al Ahli
vs
0.23
Al Najma
Goal Probability
Al Ahli
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Al Najma
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 89% 11% OVER
1.5 64% 36% -
2.5 37% 63% -
3.5 18% 82% UNDER
4.5 7% 93% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#8
Al Ahli
+1
Gap
#9
Al Najma
WR 38% 18 pts WR 0% 15 pts
Al Ahli 6.0%
Feb 12 Al Ahli v A'Ali 1-2
Feb 05 Al Ahli v Budaiya 0-0
Jan 26 Al Ahli v Al Khal… 0-1
Jan 15 Al Ahli v Muharraq 0-1
Jan 08 Al Ahli v Budaiya 2-3
Jan 01 Al Ahli v Al-Hidd 3-3
Dec 28 Al Ahli v Sitra 1-2
Dec 20 Al Ahli v Al Riffa 2-0
Nov 07 Al Ahli v Bahrain… 3-0
Oct 30 Al Ahli v Malkiya 1-1
Al Najma 4.0%
Feb 14 Al Najma v Sitra 2-0
Feb 05 Al Najma v A'Ali 2-0
Jan 28 Al Najma v A'Ali 2-0
Jan 13 Al Najma v Al Riffa 1-2
Jan 09 Al Najma v Al Khal… 3-0
Jan 03 Al Najma v Bahrain… 2-1
Dec 28 Al Najma v Muharraq 2-0
Dec 21 Al Najma v Malkiya 1-0
Nov 08 Al Najma v Budaiya 1-1
Oct 31 Al Najma v Al Shab… 2-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Oct 03, 2025 Al Najma 2-4 Al Ahli
Apr 04, 2025 Al Ahli 1-0 Al Najma
Sep 27, 2024 Al Najma 2-3 Al Ahli
Apr 28, 2024 Al Najma 2-1 Al Ahli
Nov 25, 2023 Al Ahli 2-0 Al Najma
Nov 04, 2022 Al Ahli 2-0 Al Najma
Mar 26, 2022 Al Ahli 1-1 Al Najma
Jan 20, 2022 Al Ahli 2-1 Al Najma
Aug 29, 2021 Al Ahli 1-0 Al Najma
Aug 25, 2021 Al Ahli 1-1 Al Najma
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
63%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Al Ahli struggling (3L in last 5)
Al Najma struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.