Ligue 1 · Mar 04, 2026 13:00
Etoile de Kivu
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Fc Renaissance
PWR 0
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Etoile de Kivu to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (34%) 0-1 (22%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-2 (7%) 2-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 30% at home = very high riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Etoile de Kivu Form DLDWL
STABLE
Fc Renaissance Form LDDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.510%
BTTS17%
Under 2.590%
Etoile de K… Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Fc Renaissa… Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 83% 17% OVER
1.5 52% 48% -
2.5 26% 74% UNDER
3.5 10% 90% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.7
Over 3.510%
BTTS Yes30%
Home Clean Sheet57%
Away Clean Sheet31%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Etoile de Kivu
vs
0.65
Fc Renaissance
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings57%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Etoile de K…
+3
Gap
#12
Fc Renaissa…
WR 20% 20 pts WR 11% 18 pts
Etoile de Kivu 8.0%
Mar 01 Etoile … v JSK 2-2
Feb 22 Etoile … v Maniema… 3-2
Feb 14 Etoile … v FC Mk d… 0-0
Feb 07 Etoile … v Bukavu … 0-1
Jan 31 Etoile … v Dauphin… 3-2
Jan 28 Etoile … v New Jack 0-1
Jan 19 Etoile … v Céleste 0-0
Jan 16 Etoile … v Anges V… 1-1
Jan 11 Etoile … v Vita Cl… 0-3
Dec 19 Etoile … v Maniema… 0-0
Fc Renaissance 8.0%
Feb 08 Fc Rena… v Céleste 0-5
Jan 30 Fc Rena… v Anges V… 1-1
Jan 24 Fc Rena… v Vita Cl… 1-1
Jan 18 Fc Rena… v Rangers… 1-1
Jan 15 Fc Rena… v JSK 0-0
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.