Challenge Cup · Feb 17, 2026 19:45
ST Johnstone
PWR 83
Ayr Utd
PWR 71
ST Johnstone
PWR 83
3 - 3
FT
Ayr Utd
PWR 71
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: ST Johnstone to win (78% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
78%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%)
1-0 (17%)
3-0 (15%)
0-0 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Challenge Cup
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense100
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.0
Attack91
Defense44
Goals/G2.6
Conc/G1.6
ST Johnstone Form
WDLWW
STABLE
Ayr Utd Form
WLWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS25%
Under 2.555%
ST Johnstone Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Ayr Utd Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.6
Over 3.526%
BTTS Yes48%
Home Clean Sheet41%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
ST Johnstonevs
0.32
Ayr UtdDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings50%
Market62%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#33
ST Johnstone-12
Gap#21
Ayr Utd
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 80% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Johnstone | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Ayr Utd | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
ST Johnstone
14.0%
| Feb 13 | ST John… v Airdrie… | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | ST John… v Partick | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | ST John… v Dunferm… | 0-1 |
| Jan 13 | ST John… v Ross Co… | 2-0 |
| Jan 03 | ST John… v Arbroath | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | ST John… v Ross Co… | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | ST John… v Morton | 5-0 |
| Dec 16 | ST John… v Hearts … | 0-1 |
| Dec 12 | ST John… v Ayr Utd | 2-4 |
| Dec 06 | ST John… v Raith R… | 0-0 |
Ayr Utd
14.0%
| Jan 31 | Ayr Utd v Raith R… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ayr Utd v Partick | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Ayr Utd v Dundee … | 2-0 |
| Jan 13 | Ayr Utd v Stranra… | 4-1 |
| Jan 10 | Ayr Utd v Airdrie… | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | Ayr Utd v Morton | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Ayr Utd v Dunferm… | 2-3 |
| Dec 12 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 2-4 |
| Dec 09 | Ayr Utd v Peterhe… | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | Ayr Utd v Partick | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Dec 12, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 2-4 | ST Johnstone |
| Oct 04, 2025 | ST Johnstone | 0-0 | Ayr Utd |
| Jul 25, 2023 | ST Johnstone | 1-2 | Ayr Utd |
| Jul 23, 2022 | ST Johnstone | 1-0 | Ayr Utd |
Key Factors
ST Johnstone in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ayr Utd in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.