King's Cup · Nov 28, 2025 17:30
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 64
Al-Qadisiyah
PWR 63
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 64
3 - 3
FT
Al-Qadisiyah
PWR 63
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack70
Defense65
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack76
Defense48
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.5
Al-Ahli Saudi Form
LWWWD
STABLE
Al-Qadisiyah Form
LWLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS45%
Under 2.554%
Al-Ahli Sau… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Al-Qadisiyah Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.0
Over 3.536%
BTTS Yes56%
Home Clean Sheet35%
Away Clean Sheet14%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Al-Ahli Saudivs
0.79
Al-QadisiyahDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Al-Ahli Sau…+2
Gap#5
Al-Qadisiyah
WR 56% 18 pts
WR 67% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Saudi | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 18 |
| Al-Qadisiyah | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
Al-Ahli Saudi
14.0%
| Nov 24 | Al-Ahli… v Sharjah… | 0-1 |
| Nov 21 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Qadi… | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Itti… | 0-1 |
| Nov 04 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Sadd… | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Al-Ahli… v Al Riya… | 1-1 |
| Oct 28 | Al-Ahli… v Al Akhd… | 0-1 |
| Oct 23 | Al-Ahli… v Al Najma | 0-1 |
| Oct 20 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Ghar… | 4-0 |
| Oct 17 | Al-Ahli… v Al Shab… | 1-1 |
| Sep 29 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Duha… | 2-2 |
Al-Qadisiyah
10.0%
| Nov 21 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Ahli… | 2-1 |
| Nov 06 | Al-Qadi… v Al Khol… | 4-0 |
| Nov 01 | Al-Qadi… v Al Taaw… | 2-0 |
| Oct 28 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Hazem | 3-1 |
| Oct 25 | Al-Qadi… v Al Akhd… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Al-Qadi… v Al Suqo… | 1-3 |
| Sep 27 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Fate… | 0-1 |
| Sep 24 | Al-Qadi… v Al Orub… | 1-3 |
| Sep 19 | Al-Qadi… v Al Khal… | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | Al-Qadi… v Al-Hila… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 21, 2025 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2-1 | Al-Qadisiyah |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-5 | Al-Qadisiyah |
| May 26, 2025 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2-0 | Al-Qadisiyah |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 4-1 | Al-Qadisiyah |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Al-Qadisiyah | 2-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Al-Qadisiyah | 1-0 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| May 23, 2023 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-0 | Al-Qadisiyah |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Al-Qadisiyah | 1-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| May 14, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-0 | Al-Qadisiyah |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-0 | Al-Qadisiyah |
Key Factors
Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.