Copa Alagoas · Mar 02, 2026 22:00

ASA
PWR 47
Penedense
PWR 50
PWR 50
0 - 1
FT

ASA
PWR 47
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
ASA Win
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (28%)
0-1 (27%)
0-2 (13%)
1-0 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
0-3 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense81
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.5
Attack32
Defense74
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.8
Penedense Form
LWLLD
STABLE
ASA Form
LLWDW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS16%
Under 2.586%
Penedense Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
ASA Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.5
Over 3.56%
BTTS Yes22%
Home Clean Sheet35%
Away Clean Sheet67%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (25%)
0-0 (24%)
0-2 (13%)
1-1 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
1-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Penedensevs
0.97
ASADecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum41%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Penedense+2
Gap#5
ASA
WR 29% 23 pts
WR 33% 16 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penedense | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
| ASA | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
Penedense
6.0%
| Feb 25 | Peneden… v Londrina | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Peneden… v Miguele… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Peneden… v ASA | 2-0 |
| Feb 04 | Peneden… v GuaranĂ… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Peneden… v Murici … | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Peneden… v CSE | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Peneden… v Coruripe | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Peneden… v CSE | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Peneden… v CRB | 0-1 |
| Jan 14 | Peneden… v CSA | 2-0 |
ASA
10.0%
| Feb 28 | ASA v CRB | 3-0 |
| Feb 25 | ASA v Operári… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | ASA v Murici … | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | ASA v Murici … | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | ASA v Peneden… | 2-0 |
| Feb 04 | ASA v Zumbi | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | ASA v CRB | 0-3 |
| Jan 28 | ASA v GuaranĂ… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | ASA v CSE | 1-2 |
| Jan 21 | ASA v Coruripe | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 07, 2026 | ASA | 2-0 | Penedense |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Penedense | 0-0 | ASA |
| Jan 19, 2025 | ASA | 1-1 | Penedense |
| Feb 21, 2024 | ASA | 0-0 | Penedense |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Penedense | 1-2 | ASA |
Key Factors
Penedense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.