Copa Alagoas · Mar 02, 2026 22:00
Penedense
PWR 50
0 - 1
FT

ASA
PWR 47
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
ASA Win
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (28%) 0-1 (27%) 0-2 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 0-3 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense81
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.5
Attack32
Defense74
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.8
Penedense Form LWLLD
STABLE
ASA Form LLWDW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS16%
Under 2.586%
Penedense Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
ASA Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 76% 24% OVER
1.5 42% 58% -
2.5 18% 82% UNDER
3.5 6% 94% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.5
Over 3.56%
BTTS Yes22%
Home Clean Sheet35%
Away Clean Sheet67%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (25%) 0-0 (24%) 0-2 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 1-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Penedense
vs
0.97
ASA
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum41%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Penedense
+2
Gap
#5
ASA
WR 29% 23 pts WR 33% 16 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Penedense1758417923
ASA1244411916
Penedense 6.0%
Feb 25 Peneden… v Londrina 1-0
Feb 21 Peneden… v Miguele… 0-1
Feb 07 Peneden… v ASA 2-0
Feb 04 Peneden… v Guaraní… 0-1
Feb 01 Peneden… v Murici … 0-0
Jan 29 Peneden… v CSE 1-0
Jan 25 Peneden… v Coruripe 1-1
Jan 21 Peneden… v CSE 0-2
Jan 18 Peneden… v CRB 0-1
Jan 14 Peneden… v CSA 2-0
ASA 10.0%
Feb 28 ASA v CRB 3-0
Feb 25 ASA v Operári… 1-2
Feb 22 ASA v Murici … 3-0
Feb 14 ASA v Murici … 0-0
Feb 07 ASA v Peneden… 2-0
Feb 04 ASA v Zumbi 2-1
Jan 31 ASA v CRB 0-3
Jan 28 ASA v Guaraní… 0-1
Jan 25 ASA v CSE 1-2
Jan 21 ASA v Coruripe 2-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Feb 07, 2026 ASA 2-0 Penedense
Jan 22, 2025 Penedense 0-0 ASA
Jan 19, 2025 ASA 1-1 Penedense
Feb 21, 2024 ASA 0-0 Penedense
Feb 18, 2024 Penedense 1-2 ASA
Key Factors
Penedense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.