Serie A · Feb 26, 2026 22:00

Santos
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
Santos Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
CORRECT - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Santos Form LLLWL
DOWN
Vasco DA Gama Form LDLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS18%
Under 2.576%
Santos Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Vasco DA Ga… Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 88% 12% OVER
1.5 63% 37% -
2.5 36% 64% -
3.5 17% 83% UNDER
4.5 7% 93% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.2
Over 3.517%
BTTS Yes42%
Home Clean Sheet41%
Away Clean Sheet29%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Santos
vs
0.27
Vasco DA Gama
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings74%
Market52%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Santos
+7
Gap
#20
Vasco DA Ga…
WR 50% 4 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Santos 4.0%
Feb 22 Santos v Novoriz… 2-1
Feb 22 Santos v Ɓguia d… 1-0
Feb 19 Santos v CametĆ” 2-0
Feb 15 Santos v Velo Cl… 6-0
Feb 15 Santos v Paysand… 0-2
Feb 12 Santos v AmazĆ“ni… 2-2
Feb 12 Santos v Athleti… 2-1
Feb 08 Santos v Noroeste 1-2
Feb 08 Santos v RB Brag… 1-0
Feb 04 Santos v SĆ£o Fra… 1-0
Vasco DA Gama 8.0%
Feb 22 Vasco D… v Flumine… 0-1
Feb 15 Vasco D… v Volta R… 1-1
Feb 12 Vasco D… v Bahia 0-1
Feb 08 Vasco D… v Botafogo 2-0
Feb 05 Vasco D… v Chapeco… 1-1
Feb 02 Vasco D… v Madurei… 0-0
Jan 29 Vasco D… v Mirassol 2-1
Jan 25 Vasco D… v Boavista 0-3
Jan 22 Vasco D… v Flamengo 1-0
Jan 18 Vasco D… v Nova Ig… 0-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Aug 17, 2025 Santos 0-6 Vasco DA Gama
Mar 30, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Santos
Oct 01, 2023 Santos 4-1 Vasco DA Gama
May 14, 2023 Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Santos
Dec 20, 2020 Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Santos
Sep 03, 2020 Santos 2-2 Vasco DA Gama
Key Factors
Santos struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.