Cup · Jun 18, 2025 20:00
Stjarnan
PWR 88
Keflavík
PWR 39
Stjarnan
PWR 88
4 - 2
FT
Keflavík
PWR 39
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 4.0/g, Away concedes 3.7/g, expected 5.5 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Stjarnan Win
Score
8-2
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (2%)
CORRECT 4-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
84%
84%
Team Comparison
100Attack82
65Defense0
Goals/G
4.02.3
Conc/G
1.03.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Stjarnan
LWLWW
STABLE
Keflavík
LWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (22.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.99
Stjarnanvs
0.51
KeflavíkGoal Probability
Stjarnan
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Keflavík
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (6%)2-2 (5%)3-3 (5%)4-2 (5%)2-3 (4%)3-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 6.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
League Position
#2
Stjarnan+8
Gap#10
Keflavík
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 33% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stjarnan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| Keflavík | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
Stjarnan
12.0%
| May 24 | Stjarnan v Vestri | 3-1 |
| May 10 | Stjarnan v Fram Re… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Stjarnan v Keflavík | 1-4 |
| Jan 18 | Stjarnan v Vestri | 6-1 |
| Sep 15 | Stjarnan v Vestri | 1-0 |
| Aug 26 | Stjarnan v HK Kópa… | 2-0 |
| Aug 06 | Stjarnan v Fram Re… | 2-1 |
| Jun 22 | Stjarnan v HK Kópa… | 4-3 |
| Jun 02 | Stjarnan v Vestri | 4-2 |
| May 10 | Stjarnan v Fram Re… | 1-1 |
Keflavík
8.0%
| May 30 | Keflavík v HK Kópa… | 0-3 |
| Feb 25 | Keflavík v Stjarnan | 1-4 |
| Sep 28 | Keflavík v Fram Re… | 3-1 |
| Sep 24 | Keflavík v HK Kópa… | 2-1 |
| Sep 03 | Keflavík v Stjarnan | 3-0 |
| Aug 27 | Keflavík v Fram Re… | 0-0 |
| Aug 09 | Keflavík v HK Kópa… | 3-1 |
| Jun 11 | Keflavík v Stjarnan | 1-1 |
| Jun 02 | Keflavík v Fram Re… | 4-1 |
| May 18 | Keflavík v Stjarnan | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Feb 25, 2025 | Stjarnan | 1-4 | Keflavík |
| Sep 03, 2023 | Stjarnan | 3-0 | Keflavík |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Keflavík | 1-1 | Stjarnan |
| May 18, 2023 | Stjarnan | 4-0 | Keflavík |
| Sep 04, 2022 | Stjarnan | 0-2 | Keflavík |
| Jun 16, 2022 | Keflavík | 2-2 | Stjarnan |
| Jul 03, 2021 | Stjarnan | 2-3 | Keflavík |
| May 09, 2021 | Keflavík | 2-0 | Stjarnan |
| Mar 05, 2021 | Stjarnan | 2-0 | Keflavík |
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Stjarnan in strong form (3W in last 5)
Keflavík struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.