Primeira Liga · Mar 01, 2026 20:30
Rio Ave FC
PWR 35
Famalicao
PWR 35
Rio Ave FC
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Famalicao
PWR 35
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Famalicao Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.07x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.38x
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rio Ave FC
LLLLL
DOWN
Famalicao
WLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Rio Ave FCvs
0.33
FamalicaoGoal Probability
Rio Ave FC
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Famalicao
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Rio Ave FC-9
Gap#6
Famalicao
WR 17% 21 pts
WR 33% 36 pts
Rio Ave FC
0.0%
| Feb 22 | Rio Aveā¦ v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Rio Aveā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Rio Aveā¦ v SC Braga | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Rio Aveā¦ v Arouca | 0-3 |
| Jan 25 | Rio Aveā¦ v Nacional | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Rio Aveā¦ v Benfica | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Rio Aveā¦ v Casa Piā¦ | 3-1 |
| Dec 28 | Rio Aveā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 4-0 |
| Dec 20 | Rio Aveā¦ v GIL Vicā¦ | 2-2 |
| Dec 13 | Rio Aveā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 0-1 |
Famalicao
12.0%
| Feb 23 | Famalicā¦ v Casa Piā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Famalicā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Famalicā¦ v AVS | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Famalicā¦ v GIL Vicā¦ | 5-0 |
| Jan 25 | Famalicā¦ v Tondela | 3-0 |
| Jan 18 | Famalicā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Famalicā¦ v Alverca | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | Famalicā¦ v Estrelaā¦ | 2-3 |
| Dec 22 | Famalicā¦ v Benfica | 1-0 |
| Dec 18 | Famalicā¦ v FC Porto | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 28, 2025 | Famalicao | 0-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Famalicao | 1-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Oct 04, 2024 | Rio Ave FC | 1-1 | Famalicao |
| Oct 04, 2024 | Rio Ave FC | 1-1 | Famalicao |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Famalicao | 2-1 | Rio Ave FC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Famalicao | 2-1 | Rio Ave FC |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Rio Ave FC | 1-1 | Famalicao |
| May 26, 2023 | Rio Ave FC | 2-2 | Famalicao |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Famalicao | 0-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Rio Ave FC | 0-1 | Famalicao |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
32%
Market
35%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Famalicao in strong form (3W in last 5)
Rio Ave FC struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.