Primeira Liga · Mar 02, 2026 20:15
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Benfica
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
GIL Vicente Form
LWWWL
STABLE
Benfica Form
DLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS51%
Under 2.541%
GIL Vicente Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Benfica Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.7
Over 3.550%
BTTS Yes70%
Home Clean Sheet14%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (9%)
1-2 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-3 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
GIL Vicentevs
0.82
BenficaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings46%
Market35%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
GIL Vicente-2
Gap#3
Benfica
WR 58% 40 pts
WR 75% 58 pts
GIL Vicente
12.0%
| Feb 22 | GIL Vic… v Estoril | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | GIL Vic… v SC Braga | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | GIL Vic… v Moreire… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | GIL Vic… v Famalic… | 5-0 |
| Jan 26 | GIL Vic… v FC Porto | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | GIL Vic… v Nacional | 2-1 |
| Jan 02 | GIL Vic… v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Dec 28 | GIL Vic… v Arouca | 2-2 |
| Dec 20 | GIL Vic… v Rio Ave… | 2-2 |
| Dec 13 | GIL Vic… v Casa Pi… | 1-1 |
Benfica
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Benfica v Penafie… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Benfica v Damaien… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Benfica v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Benfica v AVS | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Benfica v Felguei… | 4-2 |
| Feb 13 | Benfica v Santa C… | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Benfica v Portimo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Benfica v Vitória… | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 26, 2025 | Benfica | 2-1 | GIL Vicente |
| Mar 28, 2025 | GIL Vicente | 0-3 | Benfica |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Benfica | 5-1 | GIL Vicente |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Benfica | 5-1 | GIL Vicente |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Benfica | 3-0 | GIL Vicente |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Benfica | 3-0 | GIL Vicente |
| Aug 26, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 2-3 | Benfica |
| Apr 29, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 0-2 | Benfica |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Benfica | 3-1 | GIL Vicente |
| Feb 02, 2022 | Benfica | 1-2 | GIL Vicente |
Key Factors
GIL Vicente in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.