Predictions Match Details
Primeira Liga · Mar 01, 2026 15:30

Tondela
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Santa Clara
PWR 35
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
Tondela Win
Prediction
1-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk39%
Accuracy38%
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 42% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 42% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (39.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Tondela Form WDDDL
STABLE
Santa Clara Form DLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS33%
Under 2.567%
Tondela Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Santa Clara Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 91% 9% OVER
1.5 70% 30% OVER
2.5 44% 56% -
3.5 23% 77% UNDER
4.5 10% 90% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.523%
BTTS Yes45%
Home Clean Sheet44%
Away Clean Sheet20%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Tondela
vs
0.55
Santa Clara
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Tondela
+1
Gap
#17
Santa Clara
WR 8% 19 pts WR 8% 19 pts
Tondela 10.0%
Feb 20 Tondela v Estrela… 0-2
Feb 13 Tondela v Alverca 1-1
Feb 07 Tondela v Estoril 2-2
Feb 01 Tondela v Benfica 0-0
Jan 25 Tondela v Famalic… 3-0
Jan 18 Tondela v SC Braga 0-1
Jan 11 Tondela v Moreire… 1-0
Jan 03 Tondela v Arouca 3-1
Dec 21 Tondela v Casa Pi… 1-2
Dec 15 Tondela v Nacional 3-1
Santa Clara 2.0%
Feb 21 Santa C… v Alverca 1-1
Feb 13 Santa C… v Benfica 1-2
Feb 07 Santa C… v Estrela… 1-0
Jan 31 Santa C… v Estoril 2-4
Jan 24 Santa C… v Moreire… 1-0
Jan 18 Santa C… v Famalic… 0-1
Jan 11 Santa C… v Nacional 3-3
Jan 04 Santa C… v FC Porto 0-1
Dec 21 Santa C… v Arouca 0-0
Dec 18 Santa C… v Sportin… 2-3
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 27, 2025 Santa Clara 1-2 Tondela
Apr 20, 2024 Santa Clara 1-0 Tondela
Dec 09, 2023 Tondela 2-3 Santa Clara
Jul 29, 2023 Santa Clara 0-0 Tondela
Oct 15, 2022 Tondela 2-0 Santa Clara
Jul 16, 2022 Tondela 1-1 Santa Clara
Jan 16, 2022 Santa Clara 2-2 Tondela
Aug 08, 2021 Tondela 3-0 Santa Clara
Mar 20, 2021 Santa Clara 1-1 Tondela
Nov 07, 2020 Tondela 2-0 Santa Clara
Key Factors
Santa Clara struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.