Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 01, 2026 18:00
Comerciantes Unidos
PWR 35
Atletico Grau
PWR 35
Comerciantes Unidos
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Atletico Grau
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
Comerciantes Unidos Win
Prediction
3-0
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (21%)
0-0 (16%)
3-0 (12%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Comerciantes U… Form
LDLWD
STABLE
Atletico Grau Form
LLDLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS15%
Under 2.573%
Comerciante… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Atletico Gr… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.0
Over 3.515%
BTTS Yes30%
Home Clean Sheet62%
Away Clean Sheet21%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (20%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Comerciantes U…vs
0.20
Atletico GrauDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings85%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Comerciante…+10
Gap#18
Atletico Gr…
WR 67% 7 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Comerciantes U…
8.0%
| Feb 22 | Comerci… v Cusco | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Comerci… v Cultura… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Comerci… v Alianza… | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | Comerci… v UCV Moq… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Comerci… v ADT | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | Comerci… v Ayacuch… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Comerci… v Sportin… | 1-4 |
| Oct 24 | Comerci… v Juan Pa… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Comerci… v Alianza… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Comerci… v Cusco | 1-1 |
Atletico Grau
2.0%
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v Juan Pa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Sport B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Sport H… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Atletic… v UTC | 2-0 |
| Nov 19 | Atletic… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Atletic… v Juan Pa… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | Atletic… v Alianza… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Atletic… v Cusco | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Atletic… v UTC | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | Atletic… v FBC Mel… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Aug 15, 2025 | Atletico Grau | 1-2 | Comerciantes … |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Comerciantes … | 2-2 | Atletico Grau |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Atletico Grau | 3-0 | Comerciantes … |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Comerciantes … | 2-2 | Atletico Grau |
| Aug 26, 2021 | Atletico Grau | 4-0 | Comerciantes … |
| Jun 28, 2021 | Comerciantes … | 1-0 | Atletico Grau |
Key Factors
Atletico Grau struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.