La Liga · Mar 01, 2026 20:00
Girona
PWR 28
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
Girona
PWR 28
1 - 2
FT
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Celta de Vigo to win (65% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
65%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskH2H: 4/7 draws (57%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense51
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.6
Attack40
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Girona Form
DWDLD
STABLE
Celta de Vigo Form
WWWDL
UP
Key Players
Girona
Viktor Tsygankov
7.0
Bryan Gil
7.0
Arnau Martínez
7.2
Álex Moreno
6.6
Fran Beltrán
7.2
Celta de Vigo
Marcos Alonso
7.5
Javi Rodríguez
7.3
Williot Swedberg
7.2
Fer López
6.6
Miguel Román
7.0
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS43%
Under 2.561%
Girona Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Celta de Vi… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.522%
BTTS Yes49%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet30%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Gironavs
0.85
Celta de VigoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings36%
Market45%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Girona-7
Gap#6
Celta de Vi…
WR 31% 30 pts
WR 46% 40 pts
Girona
10.0%
| Feb 23 | Girona v Alavés | 2-2 |
| Feb 16 | Girona v Barcelo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Girona v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Girona v Oviedo | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Girona v Getafe | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Girona v Espanyol | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Girona v Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Girona v Mallorca | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | Girona v Atlétic… | 0-3 |
| Dec 12 | Girona v Real So… | 1-2 |
Celta de Vigo
14.0%
| Feb 26 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Celta d… v Mallorca | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Celta d… v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Celta d… v Osasuna | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Celta d… v Getafe | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Celta d… v FK Crve… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Celta d… v Real So… | 3-1 |
| Jan 22 | Celta d… v Lille | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Celta d… v Rayo Va… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Celta de Vigo | 1-1 | Girona |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Girona | 2-2 | Celta de Vigo |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Celta de Vigo | 1-1 | Girona |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Celta de Vigo | 0-1 | Girona |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Girona | 1-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| May 23, 2023 | Celta de Vigo | 1-1 | Girona |
| Aug 26, 2022 | Girona | 0-1 | Celta de Vigo |
Key Factors
Celta de Vigo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.