La Liga · Mar 02, 2026 20:00
Real Madrid
PWR 49
Getafe
PWR 30
Real Madrid
PWR 49
0 - 1
FT
Getafe
PWR 30
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
Real Madrid Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
72%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (3%)
1-0 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 72%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (20.7%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (4 independent rules, 72% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
Attack22
Defense63
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.2
Real Madrid Form
WLWWW
STABLE
Getafe Form
LWWDD
STABLE
Key Players
Real Madrid
VinÃcius Júnior
8.21G
Federico Valverde
7.9
Kylian Mbappé
6.91G
Arda Güler
7.5
Aurélien Tchouamé…
6.9
Getafe
Luis Milla
7.3
Kiko FemenÃa
6.6
MartÃn Satriano
6.5
David Soria
7.3
Juan Iglesias
7.2
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS36%
Under 2.543%
Real Madrid Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Getafe Goals
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.8
Over 3.532%
BTTS Yes41%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet11%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (15%)
1-0 (13%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Real Madridvs
0.45
GetafeDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings78%
Market94%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Real Madrid+9
Gap#11
Getafe
WR 85% 60 pts
WR 39% 32 pts
Real Madrid
16.0%
| Feb 25 | Real Ma… v Benfica | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Real Ma… v Osasuna | 2-1 |
| Feb 17 | Real Ma… v Benfica | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Real Ma… v Real So… | 4-1 |
| Feb 08 | Real Ma… v Valencia | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Real Ma… v Rayo Va… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Real Ma… v Benfica | 4-2 |
| Jan 24 | Real Ma… v Villarr… | 0-2 |
| Jan 20 | Real Ma… v AS Mona… | 6-1 |
| Jan 17 | Real Ma… v Levante | 2-0 |
Getafe
12.0%
| Feb 22 | Getafe v Sevilla | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Getafe v Villarr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Getafe v Alavés | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Getafe v Celta d… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Getafe v Girona | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Getafe v Valencia | 0-1 |
| Jan 09 | Getafe v Real So… | 1-2 |
| Jan 02 | Getafe v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Getafe v Real Be… | 4-0 |
| Dec 18 | Getafe v Burgos | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Getafe | 0-1 | Real Madrid |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Getafe | 0-1 | Real Madrid |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Getafe | 2-1 | Real Madrid |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Real Madrid | 1-0 | Getafe |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Real Madrid | 2-0 | Getafe |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Real Madrid | 2-0 | Getafe |
| May 15, 2024 | Getafe | 0-3 | Real Madrid |
| Feb 01, 2024 | Getafe | 0-2 | Real Madrid |
| Feb 01, 2024 | Getafe | 0-2 | Real Madrid |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Real Madrid | 3-3 | Getafe |
Key Factors
Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.