Championship · Feb 28, 2026 15:00
Airdrieonians
PWR 35
Morton
PWR 35
Airdrieonians
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Morton
PWR 35
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
3-2 (3%)
1-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk39%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 79% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Airdrieonians Form
DLLLD
STABLE
Morton Form
LWDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS58%
Under 2.536%
Airdrieonia… Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Morton Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.541%
BTTS Yes54%
Home Clean Sheet40%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.13
Airdrieoniansvs
0.88
MortonDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Airdrieonia…-2
Gap#7
Morton
WR 14% 26 pts
WR 14% 30 pts
Airdrieonians
4.0%
| Feb 25 | Airdrie… v Raith R… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Airdrie… v Partick | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Airdrie… v ST John… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Airdrie… v St. Mir… | 1-2 |
| Feb 03 | Airdrie… v Arbroath | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Airdrie… v Dunferm… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Airdrie… v Ross Co… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Airdrie… v Arbroath | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Airdrie… v Ayr Utd | 1-1 |
| Jan 06 | Airdrie… v Montrose | 3-1 |
Morton
12.0%
| Feb 21 | Morton v Queen's… | 3-2 |
| Feb 17 | Morton v Dunferm… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Morton v Raith R… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Morton v Ross Co… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Morton v Arbroath | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Morton v Stenhou… | 4-0 |
| Jan 03 | Morton v Partick | 3-2 |
| Dec 27 | Morton v Ayr Utd | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Morton v ST John… | 5-0 |
| Dec 13 | Morton v Airdrie… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Morton | 0-1 | Airdrieonians |
| Oct 04, 2025 | Airdrieonians | 1-2 | Morton |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Airdrieonians | 0-1 | Morton |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Morton | 2-2 | Airdrieonians |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Airdrieonians | 2-2 | Morton |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Morton | 2-0 | Airdrieonians |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Airdrieonians | 3-1 | Morton |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Morton | 2-1 | Airdrieonians |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Airdrieonians | 0-0 | Morton |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Morton | 0-0 | Airdrieonians |
Key Factors
Airdrieonians struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.