Championship · Feb 28, 2026 15:00
ST Johnstone
PWR 35
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
ST Johnstone
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ST Johnstone Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (4%)2-0 (3%)2-2 (3%)
CORRECT 3-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 72%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
ST Johnstone
DDDWD
STABLE
Ayr Utd
LDDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 36% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 86% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (37.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
ST Johnstonevs
1.32
Ayr UtdGoal Probability
ST Johnstone
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Ayr Utd
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
ST Johnstone+4
Gap#5
Ayr Utd
WR 57% 54 pts
WR 29% 34 pts
ST Johnstone
12.0%
| Feb 24 | ST John… v Queen's… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | ST John… v Raith R… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | ST John… v Ayr Utd | 3-3 |
| Feb 13 | ST John… v Airdrie… | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | ST John… v Partick | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | ST John… v Dunferm… | 0-1 |
| Jan 13 | ST John… v Ross Co… | 2-0 |
| Jan 03 | ST John… v Arbroath | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | ST John… v Ross Co… | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | ST John… v Morton | 5-0 |
Ayr Utd
8.0%
| Feb 24 | Ayr Utd v Inverne… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Ayr Utd v Ross Co… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 3-3 |
| Jan 31 | Ayr Utd v Raith R… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ayr Utd v Partick | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Ayr Utd v Dundee … | 2-0 |
| Jan 13 | Ayr Utd v Stranra… | 4-1 |
| Jan 10 | Ayr Utd v Airdrie… | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | Ayr Utd v Morton | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Ayr Utd v Dunferm… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 17, 2026 | ST Johnstone | 3-3 | Ayr Utd |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 2-4 | ST Johnstone |
| Oct 04, 2025 | ST Johnstone | 0-0 | Ayr Utd |
| Jul 25, 2023 | ST Johnstone | 1-2 | Ayr Utd |
| Jul 23, 2022 | ST Johnstone | 1-0 | Ayr Utd |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.