Serie A · Mar 01, 2026 19:45
Roma
PWR 41
Juventus
PWR 45
Roma
PWR 41
3 - 3
FT
Juventus
PWR 45
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Roma Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (6%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (3%)
WRONG 3-3
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.57x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.64x
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
69%
69%
Team Comparison
35Attack51
82Defense77
Goals/G
1.21.7
Conc/G
0.60.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Roma
WDWLD
STABLE
Juventus
WLLLD
STABLE
Key Players
Roma
Wesley
MatĂas SoulĂ©
Donyell Malen
Gianluca Mancini
Lorenzo Pellegr…
Juventus
Bremer
2G
Jonathan David
1G1A
Weston McKennie
1G
Pierre Kalulu
1A
Francisco Conce…
1A
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.07
Romavs
0.91
JuventusGoal Probability
Roma
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Juventus
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)4-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 5.5 | 33% | 68% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Roma+2
Gap#6
Juventus
WR 64% 51 pts
WR 43% 47 pts
Roma
12.0%
| Feb 22 | Roma v Cremone… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Roma v Napoli | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | Roma v Cagliari | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | Roma v Udinese | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Roma v Panathi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Roma v AC Milan | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Roma v VfB Stu… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Roma v Torino | 0-2 |
| Jan 13 | Roma v Torino | 2-3 |
| Jan 10 | Roma v Sassuolo | 2-0 |
Juventus
6.0%
| Feb 25 | Juventus v Galatas… | 3-2 |
| Feb 21 | Juventus v Como | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Juventus v Galatas… | 5-2 |
| Feb 14 | Juventus v Inter M… | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Juventus v Lazio | 2-2 |
| Feb 05 | Juventus v Atalanta | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Juventus v Parma | 1-4 |
| Jan 28 | Juventus v Monaco | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Juventus v Napoli | 3-0 |
| Jan 21 | Juventus v Benfica | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 20, 2025 | Juventus | 2-1 | Roma |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Roma | 1-1 | Juventus |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Juventus | 0-0 | Roma |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Juventus | 0-0 | Roma |
| May 05, 2024 | Roma | 1-1 | Juventus |
| May 05, 2024 | Roma | 1-1 | Juventus |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Juventus | 1-0 | Roma |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Juventus | 1-0 | Roma |
| Mar 05, 2023 | Roma | 1-0 | Juventus |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Juventus | 1-1 | Roma |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
59%
Market
41%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Juventus struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.