Ligue 1 · Mar 01, 2026 16:15
Lille
PWR 37
Nantes
PWR 26
Lille
PWR 37
1 - 0
FT
Nantes
PWR 26
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Lille Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
68%
Confidence
GOLD
Stability GOLD
Stability GOLD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-3 (5%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense55
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.5
Attack29
Defense46
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Lille Form
WWLDD
STABLE
Nantes Form
WLLLL
STABLE
Key Players
Lille
Ayyoub Bouaddi
7.3
FĂ©lix Correia
6.9
Hakon Arnar Haral…
6.7
Romain Perraud
6.9
Benjamin André
7.3
Nantes
Matthis Abline
7.71G
Mostafa Mohamed
6.6
RĂ©my Cabella
6.5
Louis Leroux
7.0
Fabien Centonze
6.5
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS71%
Under 2.531%
Lille Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Nantes Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.0
Over 3.514%
BTTS Yes39%
Home Clean Sheet42%
Away Clean Sheet34%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Lillevs
1.91
NantesDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings82%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Lille+11
Gap#17
Nantes
WR 50% 38 pts
WR 17% 18 pts
Lille
12.0%
| Feb 26 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Lille v Angers | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Lille v Stade B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Lille v Metz | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lille v Lyon | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lille v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Lille v Strasbo… | 1-4 |
| Jan 22 | Lille v Celta d… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Lille v Paris S… | 3-0 |
Nantes
4.0%
| Feb 22 | Nantes v LE Havr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Nantes v Monaco | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Nantes v Lyon | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Nantes v Lorient | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nantes v Nice | 1-4 |
| Jan 18 | Nantes v Paris FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Nantes v Nice | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Nantes v Marseil… | 0-2 |
| Dec 21 | Nantes v Concarn… | 3-5 |
| Dec 12 | Nantes v Angers | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Nantes | 0-2 | Lille |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Nantes | 1-0 | Lille |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Lille | 1-1 | Nantes |
| May 12, 2024 | Nantes | 1-2 | Lille |
| May 12, 2024 | Nantes | 1-2 | Lille |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Lille | 2-0 | Nantes |
| May 27, 2023 | Lille | 2-1 | Nantes |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Nantes | 1-1 | Lille |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Nantes | 0-1 | Lille |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Lille | 1-1 | Nantes |
Key Factors
Nantes struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.