Ligue 1 · Mar 01, 2026 16:15
Metz
PWR 22
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
Metz
PWR 22
0 - 1
FT
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
Stade Brestois 29 Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1-3 (6%)
2-3 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
HOME_LEAKINGAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense31
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.3
Attack39
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Metz Form
LLDLL
DOWN
Stade Brestois… Form
WDWDL
STABLE
Key Players
Metz
Benjamin Stambouli
7.5
Georgiy Tsitaishv…
6.9
Jonathan Fischer
7.3
Koffi Kouao
6.7
Gauthier Hein
6.7
Stade Brestois 29
Romain Del Castil…
7.71G
Ludovic Ajorque
6.21A
Kamory Doumbia
7.31G
Grégoire Coudert
7.9
Hugo Magnetti
7.2
Score & Markets
Over 2.576%
BTTS78%
Under 2.524%
Metz Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Stade Brest… Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.6
Over 3.527%
BTTS Yes46%
Home Clean Sheet16%
Away Clean Sheet45%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (13%)
0-2 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (10%)
0-0 (7%)
0-3 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Metzvs
2.39
Stade Brestois…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum46%
Standings32%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
Metz-9
Gap#9
Stade Brest…
WR 17% 13 pts
WR 25% 33 pts
Metz
2.0%
| Feb 21 | Metz v Paris S… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Metz v Auxerre | 1-3 |
| Feb 06 | Metz v Lille | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Metz v Angers | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Metz v Lyon | 2-5 |
| Jan 18 | Metz v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Metz v Montpel… | 0-4 |
| Jan 04 | Metz v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Metz v Biesheim | 0-3 |
| Dec 13 | Metz v Paris S… | 2-3 |
Stade Brestois…
12.0%
| Feb 20 | Stade B… v Marseil… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Stade B… v Lille | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Stade B… v Lorient | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Stade B… v Nice | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Stade B… v Toulouse | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Stade B… v Lyon | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Stade B… v Auxerre | 2-0 |
| Dec 19 | Stade B… v Avranch… | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Stade B… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Dec 05 | Stade B… v Monaco | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Nov 23, 2025 | Stade Brestoi… | 3-2 | Metz |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Stade Brestoi… | 4-3 | Metz |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Metz | 0-1 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Metz | 0-1 | Stade Brestoi… |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-2 | Metz |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Stade Brestoi… | 2-4 | Metz |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Metz | 0-2 | Stade Brestoi… |
Key Factors
Metz struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.