Bundesliga · Mar 01, 2026 18:30
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
RB Leipzig
PWR 41
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
1 - 2
FT
RB Leipzig
PWR 41
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack30
Defense54
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Attack57
Defense60
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.4
Hamburger SV Form
DWWDD
STABLE
RB Leipzig Form
DDLWL
STABLE
Key Players
Hamburger SV
Luka Vušković
7.31G
Miro Muheim
7.9
Fábio Vieira
7.01G
William Mikelbren…
7.01A
Daniel Heuer Fern…
8.3
RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa
8.01A
Conrad Harder
7.31G
Yan Diomande
7.9
David Raum
7.2
Nicolas Seiwald
7.3
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS52%
Under 2.552%
Hamburger SV Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
RB Leipzig Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.3
Over 3.543%
BTTS Yes66%
Home Clean Sheet21%
Away Clean Sheet17%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Hamburger SVvs
1.10
RB LeipzigDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum65%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Hamburger SV-6
Gap#5
RB Leipzig
WR 42% 26 pts
WR 50% 44 pts
Hamburger SV
14.0%
| Feb 20 | Hamburg… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Hamburg… v Union B… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Hamburg… v FC Heid… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Hamburg… v Bayern … | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Hamburg… v FC St. … | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Hamburg… v Borussi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Hamburg… v SC Frei… | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | Hamburg… v Eintrac… | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Hamburg… v 1899 Ho… | 4-1 |
| Dec 07 | Hamburg… v Werder … | 3-2 |
RB Leipzig
8.0%
| Feb 21 | RB Leip… v Borussi… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | RB Leip… v VfL Wol… | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | RB Leip… v Bayern … | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | RB Leip… v FC Koln | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | RB Leip… v FSV Mai… | 1-2 |
| Jan 27 | RB Leip… v FC St. … | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | RB Leip… v FC Heid… | 0-3 |
| Jan 17 | RB Leip… v Bayern … | 1-5 |
| Jan 14 | RB Leip… v SC Frei… | 2-0 |
| Dec 20 | RB Leip… v Bayer L… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 18, 2025 | RB Leipzig | 2-1 | Hamburger SV |
| Oct 18, 2022 | RB Leipzig | 4-0 | Hamburger SV |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.