Ekstraklasa · Mar 01, 2026 16:30
Lech Poznan
PWR 35
Raków Częstochowa
PWR 35
Lech Poznan
PWR 35
4 - 3
FT
Raków Częstochowa
PWR 35
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
Lech Poznan Win
Prediction
3-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (24%)
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
CORRECT - Actual: 4-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Lech Poznan Form
WWWWW
UP
Raków Częstoch… Form
WDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.517%
BTTS22%
Under 2.583%
Lech Poznan Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Raków Częst… Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.521%
BTTS Yes42%
Home Clean Sheet47%
Away Clean Sheet21%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Lech Poznanvs
0.43
Raków Częstoch…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings51%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Lech Poznan+2
Gap#5
Raków Częst…
WR 42% 38 pts
WR 50% 34 pts
Lech Poznan
20.0%
| Feb 26 | Lech Po… v KuPS | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Lech Po… v Korona … | 1-2 |
| Feb 19 | Lech Po… v KuPS | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Lech Po… v Piast G… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lech Po… v Gornik … | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Lech Po… v Piast G… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Lech Po… v Lechia … | 1-3 |
| Dec 18 | Lech Po… v Sigma O… | 1-2 |
| Dec 11 | Lech Po… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Lech Po… v Cracovi… | 2-2 |
Raków Częstoch…
12.0%
| Feb 21 | Raków C… v Nieciec… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Raków C… v Zaglebi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Raków C… v Radomia… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Raków C… v Wisla P… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Raków C… v Vojvodi… | 3-1 |
| Jan 18 | Raków C… v Partiza… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Raków C… v RB Salz… | 1-1 |
| Dec 18 | Raków C… v Omonia … | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Raków C… v Zaglebi… | 0-1 |
| Dec 11 | Raków C… v Zrinjski | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 24, 2025 | Raków Częstoc… | 2-2 | Lech Poznan |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Lech Poznan | 0-1 | Raków Częstoc… |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Raków Częstoc… | 0-0 | Lech Poznan |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Raków Częstoc… | 4-0 | Lech Poznan |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Lech Poznan | 4-1 | Raków Częstoc… |
| May 14, 2023 | Raków Częstoc… | 0-2 | Lech Poznan |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Lech Poznan | 1-2 | Raków Częstoc… |
| Jul 09, 2022 | Lech Poznan | 0-2 | Raków Częstoc… |
| May 02, 2022 | Lech Poznan | 1-3 | Raków Częstoc… |
| Mar 06, 2022 | Lech Poznan | 0-1 | Raków Częstoc… |
Key Factors
Lech Poznan in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.