Ekstraklasa · Mar 01, 2026 13:45

Jagiellonia
PWR 35

Legia Warszawa
PWR 35

Jagiellonia
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Legia Warszawa
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
Jagiellonia Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
2-3 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Jagiellonia Form
WDLDW
STABLE
Legia Warszawa Form
WWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.578%
BTTS82%
Under 2.522%
Jagiellonia Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Legia Warsz… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.9
Over 3.554%
BTTS Yes73%
Home Clean Sheet16%
Away Clean Sheet13%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Jagielloniavs
2.28
Legia WarszawaDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings93%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Jagiellonia+15
Gap#16
Legia Warsz…
WR 60% 38 pts
WR 8% 25 pts
Jagiellonia
12.0%
| Feb 26 | Jagiell… v Fiorent… | 2-4 |
| Feb 22 | Jagiell… v Radomia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Jagiell… v Fiorent… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Jagiell… v Cracovi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Jagiell… v Motor L… | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Jagiell… v Widzew … | 1-3 |
| Dec 18 | Jagiell… v AZ Alkm… | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Jagiell… v Motor L… | 1-1 |
| Dec 11 | Jagiell… v Rayo Va… | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Jagiell… v Nieciec… | 2-1 |
Legia Warszawa
16.0%
| Feb 21 | Legia W… v Wisla P… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Legia W… v Ruch Ch… | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Legia W… v Znicz P… | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Legia W… v GKS Kat… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Legia W… v Stal Mi… | 5-2 |
| Feb 07 | Legia W… v Arka Gd… | 2-2 |
| Feb 01 | Legia W… v Korona … | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Legia W… v Kudrivka | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | Legia W… v Slavia … | 3-3 |
| Dec 18 | Legia W… v Lincoln… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 24, 2025 | Legia Warszawa | 0-0 | Jagiellonia |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Legia Warszawa | 0-1 | Jagiellonia |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Legia Warszawa | 3-1 | Jagiellonia |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Jagiellonia | 1-1 | Legia Warszawa |
| Jul 06, 2024 | Jagiellonia | 2-0 | Legia Warszawa |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Legia Warszawa | 1-1 | Jagiellonia |
| Oct 01, 2023 | Jagiellonia | 2-0 | Legia Warszawa |
| May 12, 2023 | Legia Warszawa | 5-1 | Jagiellonia |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Jagiellonia | 2-5 | Legia Warszawa |
| May 13, 2022 | Jagiellonia | 2-2 | Legia Warszawa |
Key Factors
Legia Warszawa in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.