Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 01, 2026 15:30
Pacos Ferreira
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 45
Pacos Ferreira
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Moreirense
PWR 45
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Pacos Ferreira to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (15%)
0-1 (15%)
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (13%)
0-2 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack46
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Pacos Ferreira Form
LDLWL
STABLE
Moreirense Form
LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS37%
Under 2.571%
Pacos Ferre… Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Moreirense Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.4
Over 3.55%
BTTS Yes24%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet47%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (26%)
1-0 (19%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Pacos Ferreiravs
1.00
MoreirenseDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Pacos Ferre…-9
Gap#1
Moreirense
WR 30% 65 pts
WR 37% 193 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacos Ferreira | 54 | 16 | 17 | 21 | 63 | 77 | 65 |
| Moreirense | 139 | 52 | 37 | 50 | 182 | 194 | 193 |
Pacos Ferreira
6.0%
| Feb 23 | Pacos F… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pacos F… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Pacos F… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
| Jan 23 | Pacos F… v Académi… | 2-1 |
| Jan 15 | Pacos F… v Vizela | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Pacos F… v Penafie… | 1-2 |
| Dec 28 | Pacos F… v Farense | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Pacos F… v Moreire… | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Pacos F… v Lusitân… | 1-5 |
| Dec 07 | Pacos F… v Chaves | 2-0 |
Moreirense
4.0%
| Feb 28 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | Moreire… v Lusitân… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v União d… | 2-4 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v Benfica | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
| Feb 16 | Moreire… v Rio Ave… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Moreire… v Pacos F… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Moreire… v Académi… | 4-1 |
| Feb 14 | Moreire… v Chaves | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Moreire… v União d… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 15, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira | 0-0 | Moreirense |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Moreirense | 0-1 | Pacos Ferreira |
| Oct 05, 2025 | Moreirense | 2-2 | Pacos Ferreira |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Moreirense | 0-0 | Pacos Ferreira |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Pacos Ferreira | 0-0 | Moreirense |
| Mar 03, 2025 | Pacos Ferreira | 0-1 | Moreirense |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Pacos Ferreira | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Moreirense | 0-2 | Pacos Ferreira |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Moreirense | 2-0 | Pacos Ferreira |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Moreirense | 0-0 | Pacos Ferreira |
Key Factors
Pacos Ferreira struggling (3L in last 5)
Moreirense struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.