Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 01, 2026 18:00
Penafiel FC
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 52
Penafiel FC
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Benfica
PWR 52
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Penafiel FC Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (20%)
1-0 (16%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack62
Defense52
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.4
Penafiel FC Form
DWWDL
STABLE
Benfica Form
LWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS31%
Under 2.578%
Penafiel FC Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Benfica Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.7
Over 3.59%
BTTS Yes30%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet53%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (19%)
0-1 (19%)
1-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Penafiel FCvs
0.79
BenficaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Penafiel FC+1
Gap#6
Benfica
WR 29% 83 pts
WR 40% 81 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel FC | 73 | 21 | 20 | 32 | 81 | 95 | 83 |
| Benfica | 53 | 21 | 18 | 14 | 94 | 72 | 81 |
Penafiel FC
12.0%
| Feb 22 | Penafie… v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Penafie… v Lusitân… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Penafie… v Chaves | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | Penafie… v Leixões… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Penafie… v Portimo… | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Penafie… v Pacos F… | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Dec 12 | Penafie… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Penafie… v União d… | 1-0 |
Benfica
8.0%
| Feb 25 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Benfica v Damaien… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Benfica v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Benfica v AVS | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Benfica v Felguei… | 4-2 |
| Feb 13 | Benfica v Santa C… | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Benfica v Portimo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Benfica v Vitória… | 5-1 |
| Feb 08 | Benfica v Alverca | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Benfica | 0-2 | Penafiel FC |
| May 11, 2025 | Benfica | 1-1 | Penafiel FC |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Penafiel FC | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Penafiel FC | 0-1 | Benfica |
| Nov 04, 2023 | Benfica | 1-0 | Penafiel FC |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Penafiel FC | 0-3 | Benfica |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Benfica | 2-0 | Penafiel FC |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Benfica | 1-2 | Penafiel FC |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Benfica | 1-0 | Penafiel FC |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Penafiel FC | 0-1 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.