Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 02, 2026 18:00
Moreirense
PWR 45
Felgueiras 1932
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 45
0 - 0
FT
Felgueiras 1932
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
Moreirense Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (9%)
1-3 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
0-2 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
0-3 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Moreirense Form
DDLLL
STABLE
Felgueiras 1932 Form
DLLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS68%
Under 2.530%
Moreirense Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Felgueiras … Goals
0
8%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.2
Over 3.53%
BTTS Yes19%
Home Clean Sheet49%
Away Clean Sheet63%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (31%)
0-1 (22%)
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (10%)
0-2 (8%)
1-2 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Moreirensevs
2.59
Felgueiras 1932Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market45%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Moreirense+10
Gap#11
Felgueiras …
WR 37% 193 pts
WR 34% 57 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 139 | 52 | 37 | 50 | 182 | 194 | 193 |
| Felgueiras 1932 | 41 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 57 |
Moreirense
4.0%
| Mar 01 | Moreire… v Casa Pi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Moreire… v Pacos F… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | Moreire… v Lusitân… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v União d… | 2-4 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v Benfica | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
| Feb 16 | Moreire… v Rio Ave… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Moreire… v Pacos F… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Moreire… v Académi… | 4-1 |
Felgueiras 1932
8.0%
| Feb 22 | Felguei… v Penafie… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Felguei… v Benfica | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | Felguei… v Lusitân… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Felguei… v Chaves | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Felguei… v MarĂtimo | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Felguei… v Leixões… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Felguei… v Portimo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Felguei… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Dec 21 | Felguei… v FC Porto | 2-0 |
| Dec 13 | Felguei… v União d… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 03, 2026 | Felgueiras 19… | 1-0 | Moreirense |
| Nov 04, 2025 | Moreirense | 2-0 | Felgueiras 19… |
| Oct 05, 2025 | Felgueiras 19… | 2-0 | Moreirense |
| May 17, 2025 | Felgueiras 19… | 2-1 | Moreirense |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Moreirense | 1-1 | Felgueiras 19… |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Moreirense | 3-2 | Felgueiras 19… |
| Jan 05, 2025 | Moreirense | 0-3 | Felgueiras 19… |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Felgueiras 19… | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Felgueiras 19… | 0-0 | Moreirense |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Moreirense | 2-1 | Felgueiras 19… |
Key Factors
Moreirense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.