HNL · Feb 28, 2026 16:45

NK Varaždin
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

HNK Hajduk Split
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
NK Varaždin Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
NK Varaždin Form LLWDW
DOWN
HNK Hajduk Spl… Form WWWLL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS66%
Under 2.534%
NK Varaždin Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
HNK Hajduk … Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 93% 7% OVER
1.5 75% 25% OVER
2.5 50% 50% -
3.5 28% 72% UNDER
4.5 14% 86% UNDER
5.5 6% 94% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.7
Over 3.528%
BTTS Yes45%
Home Clean Sheet14%
Away Clean Sheet48%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (13%) 0-2 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-3 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
NK Varaždin
vs
1.42
HNK Hajduk Spl…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
NK Varaždin
-3
Gap
#2
HNK Hajduk …
WR 42% 33 pts WR 50% 47 pts
NK Varaždin 10.0%
Feb 22 NK Vara… v Dinamo … 0-4
Feb 14 NK Vara… v HNK Rij… 3-1
Feb 08 NK Vara… v HNK Rij… 2-1
Feb 07 NK Vara… v Celtic 1-1
Jan 31 NK Vara… v NK Slav… 0-2
Jan 26 NK Vara… v HNK Rij… 1-2
Dec 19 NK Vara… v Istra 1… 1-3
Dec 12 NK Vara… v Vukovar 2-0
Dec 07 NK Vara… v NK Loko… 4-2
Dec 03 NK Vara… v Križevci 0-0
HNK Hajduk Spl… 12.0%
Feb 22 HNK Haj… v HNK Rij… 1-0
Feb 15 HNK Haj… v HNK Rij… 0-2
Feb 07 HNK Haj… v NK Slav… 2-0
Jan 31 HNK Haj… v HNK Rij… 1-0
Jan 25 HNK Haj… v Istra 1… 1-2
Dec 21 HNK Haj… v Vukovar 2-1
Dec 13 HNK Haj… v NK Loko… 1-3
Dec 06 HNK Haj… v Dinamo … 1-1
Nov 29 HNK Haj… v NK Vara… 1-1
Nov 22 HNK Haj… v HNK Rij… 5-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 29, 2025 HNK Hajduk Sp… 1-1 NK Varaždin
Sep 13, 2025 NK Varaždin 2-0 HNK Hajduk Sp…
Apr 18, 2025 NK Varaždin 1-1 HNK Hajduk Sp…
Feb 08, 2025 HNK Hajduk Sp… 1-0 NK Varaždin
Nov 03, 2024 NK Varaždin 1-0 HNK Hajduk Sp…
Aug 18, 2024 HNK Hajduk Sp… 2-1 NK Varaždin
May 05, 2024 HNK Hajduk Sp… 0-1 NK Varaždin
Feb 27, 2024 HNK Hajduk Sp… 5-0 NK Varaždin
Feb 24, 2024 NK Varaždin 1-1 HNK Hajduk Sp…
Nov 12, 2023 HNK Hajduk Sp… 3-1 NK Varaždin
Key Factors
HNK Hajduk Split in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.