Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 01, 2026 12:30

Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Mil-Muğan
PWR 35
65% H 21% D 14% A
Final Verdict
Turan Tovuz Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Turan Tovuz Form WWDWW
STABLE
Mil-Muğan Form DLDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS27%
Under 2.567%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Mil-Muğan Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 75% 25% OVER
1.5 40% 60% -
2.5 16% 84% UNDER
3.5 5% 95% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.4
Over 3.55%
BTTS Yes16%
Home Clean Sheet76%
Away Clean Sheet33%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Turan Tovuz
vs
0.40
Mil-Muğan
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Turan Tovuz
+6
Gap
#9
Mil-Muğan
WR 55% 41 pts WR 36% 21 pts
Turan Tovuz 18.0%
Feb 24 Turan T… v Qabala 0-3
Feb 20 Turan T… v Zira 2-0
Feb 16 Turan T… v Şamaxı 0-0
Feb 09 Turan T… v Karvan 1-0
Feb 05 Turan T… v Kəpəz 1-0
Feb 01 Turan T… v Qarabağ… 1-0
Jan 25 Turan T… v Sumqayıt 2-1
Dec 19 Turan T… v Kəpəz 0-2
Dec 13 Turan T… v Sabah FA 1-3
Dec 02 Turan T… v Şahdağ 1-2
Mil-Muğan 6.0%
Feb 22 Mil-Muğ… v Şamaxı 0-0
Feb 14 Mil-Muğ… v Qarabağ… 0-1
Feb 09 Mil-Muğ… v Kəpəz 0-0
Jan 30 Mil-Muğ… v Qabala 3-2
Jan 23 Mil-Muğ… v Araz 2-2
Dec 20 Mil-Muğ… v Zira 0-0
Dec 15 Mil-Muğ… v Karvan 1-1
Dec 09 Mil-Muğ… v Sumqayıt 1-0
Dec 03 Mil-Muğ… v Sabah FA 1-2
Nov 29 Mil-Muğ… v Sabah FA 0-3
Head-to-Head (1)
Aug 16, 2025 Mil-Muğan 0-1 Turan Tovuz
Key Factors
Turan Tovuz in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.