Azerbaijan Premier League · Feb 28, 2026 10:30
Şamaxı
PWR 35
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
Şamaxı
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
Şamaxı Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
0-2 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Şamaxı Form
DDLWW
STABLE
Neftchi Baku Form
WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS43%
Under 2.563%
Şamaxı Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Neftchi Baku Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.522%
BTTS Yes49%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet30%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Şamaxıvs
1.30
Neftchi BakuDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum46%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Şamaxı-2
Gap#6
Neftchi Baku
WR 27% 26 pts
WR 46% 31 pts
Şamaxı
12.0%
| Feb 22 | Şamaxı v Mil-Muğ… | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Şamaxı v Turan T… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Şamaxı v Qarabağ… | 1-2 |
| Feb 05 | Şamaxı v Qarabağ… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Şamaxı v Kəpəz | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Şamaxı v Qabala | 0-4 |
| Dec 21 | Şamaxı v Araz | 2-0 |
| Dec 13 | Şamaxı v Zira | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Şamaxı v Karvan | 0-3 |
| Dec 03 | Şamaxı v Baku Sp… | 1-0 |
Neftchi Baku
18.0%
| Feb 15 | Neftchi… v Kəpəz | 1-3 |
| Feb 10 | Neftchi… v Qabala | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Neftchi… v Araz | 0-4 |
| Jan 23 | Neftchi… v Zira | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Neftchi… v Karvan | 1-2 |
| Dec 15 | Neftchi… v Sumqayıt | 2-2 |
| Dec 08 | Neftchi… v Sabah FA | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Neftchi… v Zira | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Neftchi… v Xorazm | 2-0 |
| Nov 28 | Neftchi… v Turan T… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 16, 2025 | Neftchi Baku | 1-1 | Şamaxı |
| Apr 07, 2025 | Şamaxı | 0-2 | Neftchi Baku |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Neftchi Baku | 1-0 | Şamaxı |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Neftchi Baku | 2-2 | Şamaxı |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Şamaxı | 0-0 | Neftchi Baku |
| May 14, 2023 | Neftchi Baku | 1-1 | Şamaxı |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Şamaxı | 0-1 | Neftchi Baku |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Neftchi Baku | 3-0 | Şamaxı |
| Aug 07, 2022 | Şamaxı | 0-1 | Neftchi Baku |
| Apr 09, 2022 | Şamaxı | 1-2 | Neftchi Baku |
Key Factors
Neftchi Baku in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.