Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 01, 2026 23:30

Cerro Porteño
PWR 57

Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 0

Cerro Porteño
PWR 57
2 - 0
FT

Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 0
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Cerro Porteño to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (27%)
0-0 (25%)
0-2 (15%)
1-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
0-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 7%, PPG diff 0.1 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense67
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cerro Porteño Form
WLLDW
STABLE
Deportivo Reco… Form
DWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS17%
Under 2.584%
Cerro Porte… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Deportivo R… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.9
Over 3.513%
BTTS Yes35%
Home Clean Sheet51%
Away Clean Sheet29%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (18%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Cerro Porteñovs
1.09
Deportivo Reco…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum39%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Cerro Porteño
10.0%
| Feb 25 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Cerro P… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Cerro P… v Naciona… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Cerro P… v 2 de Ma… | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Cerro P… v Club Sp… | 2-4 |
| Jan 24 | Cerro P… v Liberta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Cerro P… v San Lor… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Cerro P… v General… | 1-2 |
| Nov 23 | Cerro P… v Liberta… | 1-0 |
Deportivo Reco…
14.0%
| Feb 26 | Deporti… v Naciona… | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Deporti… v 2 de Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Deporti… v Sportiv… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Deporti… v Club Sp… | 0-3 |
| Feb 02 | Deporti… v Liberta… | 2-1 |
| Jan 29 | Deporti… v Rubio Ñu | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Deporti… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
Key Factors
Deportivo Recoleta in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.