Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 01, 2026 23:30

Cerro Porteño
PWR 57
2 - 0
FT

Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 0
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Cerro Porteño to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (27%) 0-0 (25%) 0-2 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 7%, PPG diff 0.1 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense67
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cerro Porteño Form WLLDW
STABLE
Deportivo Reco… Form DWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS17%
Under 2.584%
Cerro Porte… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Deportivo R… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 85% 15% OVER
1.5 57% 43% -
2.5 30% 70% UNDER
3.5 13% 87% UNDER
4.5 5% 96% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.9
Over 3.513%
BTTS Yes35%
Home Clean Sheet51%
Away Clean Sheet29%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Cerro Porteño
vs
1.09
Deportivo Reco…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum39%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Cerro Porteño 10.0%
Feb 25 Cerro P… v Sportiv… 0-1
Feb 21 Cerro P… v Olimpia 0-1
Feb 15 Cerro P… v Naciona… 0-2
Feb 07 Cerro P… v 2 de Ma… 0-0
Feb 02 Cerro P… v Sportiv… 2-0
Jan 27 Cerro P… v Club Sp… 2-4
Jan 24 Cerro P… v Liberta… 1-1
Jan 17 Cerro P… v San Lor… 0-0
Dec 06 Cerro P… v General… 1-2
Nov 23 Cerro P… v Liberta… 1-0
Deportivo Reco… 14.0%
Feb 26 Deporti… v Naciona… 2-2
Feb 20 Deporti… v 2 de Ma… 0-1
Feb 13 Deporti… v Sportiv… 1-2
Feb 06 Deporti… v Club Sp… 0-3
Feb 02 Deporti… v Liberta… 2-1
Jan 29 Deporti… v Rubio Ñu 1-1
Jan 23 Deporti… v Sportiv… 1-1
Key Factors
Deportivo Recoleta in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.