Championship · Mar 02, 2026 20:00
Birmingham
PWR 36
Middlesbrough
PWR 41
Birmingham
PWR 36
1 - 3
FT
Middlesbrough
PWR 41
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Middlesbrough to win (82% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
82%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WRONG - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 41% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 63% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense62
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack47
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Birmingham Form
LWDDW
STABLE
Middlesbrough Form
DDLWW
STABLE
Key Players
Birmingham
Marvin Ducksch
7.21G
Kai Wagner
7.6
Christoph Klarer
7.6
Tomoki Iwata
6.5
Phil Neumann
7.0
Middlesbrough
Hayden Hackney
8.21G
Riley McGree
7.51A
Matt Targett
7.3
Aidan Morris
7.3
Adilson Malanda
7.5
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS51%
Under 2.550%
Birmingham Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Middlesbrou… Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.7
Over 3.529%
BTTS Yes55%
Home Clean Sheet25%
Away Clean Sheet27%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
0-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Birminghamvs
0.95
MiddlesbroughDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings30%
Market41%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Birmingham-10
Gap#2
Middlesbrou…
WR 47% 49 pts
WR 50% 66 pts
Birmingham
12.0%
| Feb 25 | Birming… v Millwall | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Birming… v Norwich… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Birming… v Leeds | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Birming… v West Br… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Birming… v Leicest… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Birming… v Oxford … | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Birming… v Stoke C… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Birming… v Sheffie… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | Birming… v Swansea | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Birming… v Cambrid… | 2-3 |
Middlesbrough
12.0%
| Feb 24 | Middles… v Leicest… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Middles… v Oxford … | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Middles… v Coventry | 3-1 |
| Feb 09 | Middles… v Sheffie… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Middles… v Norwich… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Middles… v Preston | 4-0 |
| Jan 21 | Middles… v Stoke C… | 1-2 |
| Jan 16 | Middles… v West Br… | 2-3 |
| Jan 10 | Middles… v Fulham | 3-1 |
| Jan 04 | Middles… v Southam… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2-1 | Birmingham |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Birmingham | 0-1 | Middlesbrough |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Birmingham | 0-1 | Middlesbrough |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Middlesbrough | 1-0 | Birmingham |
| Jan 02, 2023 | Birmingham | 1-3 | Middlesbrough |
| Oct 05, 2022 | Middlesbrough | 1-0 | Birmingham |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Birmingham | 0-2 | Middlesbrough |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Middlesbrough | 0-2 | Birmingham |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Middlesbrough | 0-1 | Birmingham |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Birmingham | 1-4 | Middlesbrough |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.