Liga Premier Serie A · Mar 01, 2026 01:00
Gavilanes FC Matamoros
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Lobos ULMX
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
Gavilanes FC Matamoros Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (37.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Gavilanes FC M… Form LWWDD
STABLE
Lobos ULMX Form DWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS26%
Under 2.578%
Gavilanes F… Goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Lobos ULMX Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 70% 30% OVER
1.5 34% 66% UNDER
2.5 12% 88% UNDER
3.5 3% 97% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.2
Over 3.53%
BTTS Yes18%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet45%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (24%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Gavilanes FC M…
vs
0.47
Lobos ULMX
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Gavilanes F…
-1
Gap
#7
Lobos ULMX
WR 73% 29 pts WR 30% 30 pts
Gavilanes FC M… 12.0%
Feb 21 Gavilan… v Correca… 1-0
Feb 15 Gavilan… v Real Ap… 2-1
Feb 01 Gavilan… v Chilpan… 2-1
Jan 24 Gavilan… v Zitacua… 0-0
Jan 20 Gavilan… v FC Sant… 1-1
Jan 09 Gavilan… v Atletic… 1-0
Nov 22 Gavilan… v Zacatep… 0-0
Nov 16 Gavilan… v Cordobés 1-0
Nov 09 Gavilan… v Sportin… 1-1
Oct 24 Gavilan… v Deporti… 4-3
Lobos ULMX 14.0%
Feb 22 Lobos U… v Real Ap… 0-0
Feb 14 Lobos U… v Chilpan… 1-2
Feb 08 Lobos U… v FC Sant… 1-1
Jan 31 Lobos U… v Zacatep… 0-0
Jan 25 Lobos U… v Sportin… 2-1
Jan 17 Lobos U… v Ciervos 1-0
Jan 11 Lobos U… v Correca… 0-2
Nov 23 Lobos U… v Calor d… 2-3
Nov 15 Lobos U… v Zitacua… 1-2
Nov 11 Lobos U… v Atletic… 7-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Oct 12, 2025 Lobos ULMX 1-0 Gavilanes FC …
Feb 16, 2025 Gavilanes FC … 2-2 Lobos ULMX
Oct 13, 2024 Lobos ULMX 1-2 Gavilanes FC …
Feb 18, 2023 Gavilanes FC … 0-0 Lobos ULMX
Sep 29, 2022 Lobos ULMX 0-5 Gavilanes FC …
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.