Premier League · Mar 02, 2026 19:30

Al Ittihad
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Ghazl El Mehalla
PWR 35
59% 22% 19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al Ittihad Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (13%)0-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.36x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.84x
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS No
No 17%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al Ittihad LWWWL
STABLE
Ghazl El Mehal… LDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/8 draws (62%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (35.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.88
Al Ittihad
vs
0.20
Ghazl El Mehal…
Goal Probability
Al Ittihad
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Ghazl El Me…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (18%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 82% 18% OVER
1.5 52% 48% -
2.5 25% 75% UNDER
3.5 10% 90% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#14
Al Ittihad
+2
Gap
#16
Ghazl El Me…
WR 40% 20 pts WR 10% 18 pts
Al Ittihad 12.0%
Feb 25 Al Itti… v Petrojet 1-0
Feb 16 Al Itti… v Smouha … 1-0
Feb 06 Al Itti… v El Geish 0-1
Jan 30 Al Itti… v Haras E… 2-0
Jan 21 Al Itti… v Cerâmic… 3-1
Jan 17 Al Itti… v Haras E… 0-0
Jan 06 Al Itti… v Al-Masr… 1-1
Jan 01 Al Itti… v Zamalek… 3-0
Dec 24 Al Itti… v Kahraba… 1-1
Dec 20 Al Itti… v Smouha … 0-0
Ghazl El Mehal… 4.0%
Feb 24 Ghazl E… v Al Assi… 1-3
Feb 20 Ghazl E… v Al-Masr… 0-0
Feb 05 Ghazl E… v Cerâmic… 3-2
Jan 29 Ghazl E… v El Geish 0-0
Jan 22 Ghazl E… v Wadi De… 3-2
Jan 16 Ghazl E… v Enppi 0-0
Jan 12 Ghazl E… v Cerâmic… 1-0
Jan 05 Ghazl E… v El Moka… 1-1
Dec 30 Ghazl E… v El Geish 1-0
Dec 23 Ghazl E… v Al Wasl… 2-1
Head-to-Head (8)
May 10, 2025 Al Ittihad 0-0 Ghazl El Meha…
Dec 21, 2024 Ghazl El Meha… 0-0 Al Ittihad
Mar 31, 2023 Ghazl El Meha… 2-0 Al Ittihad
Nov 30, 2022 Al Ittihad 0-2 Ghazl El Meha…
Aug 30, 2022 Ghazl El Meha… 1-1 Al Ittihad
Apr 30, 2022 Al Ittihad 3-0 Ghazl El Meha…
Jun 25, 2021 Ghazl El Meha… 1-1 Al Ittihad
Mar 09, 2021 Al Ittihad 0-0 Ghazl El Meha…
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
62%
Market
48%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al Ittihad in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ghazl El Mehalla struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.