Liga Nacional · Mar 02, 2026 21:30
Génesis
PWR 37
0 - 2
FT

Lobos Upnfm
PWR 34
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense48
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.5
Attack37
Defense40
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.7
Génesis Form WDLDD
STABLE
Lobos Upnfm Form WLDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS68%
Under 2.534%
Génesis Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Lobos Upnfm Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 90% 10% OVER
1.5 67% 33% OVER
2.5 40% 60% -
3.5 20% 80% UNDER
4.5 8% 92% UNDER
5.5 3% 97% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.520%
BTTS Yes46%
Home Clean Sheet27%
Away Clean Sheet37%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Génesis
vs
1.74
Lobos Upnfm
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Génesis
-1
Gap
#7
Lobos Upnfm
WR 21% 52 pts WR 23% 67 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Génesis52111922587852
Lobos Upnfm691619347311867
Génesis 10.0%
Feb 27 Génesis v CD Mara… 1-2
Feb 15 Génesis v Platens… 2-2
Feb 11 Génesis v CD Mota… 0-5
Feb 07 Génesis v Jutical… 1-1
Feb 01 Génesis v Atlétic… 0-0
Jan 28 Génesis v Real Es… 1-2
Jan 26 Génesis v CD Olim… 1-0
Dec 07 Génesis v Platens… 1-1
Dec 03 Génesis v Jutical… 2-2
Nov 27 Génesis v Real Es… 1-0
Lobos Upnfm 8.0%
Feb 26 Lobos U… v Platens… 1-0
Feb 21 Lobos U… v Real Es… 4-3
Feb 12 Lobos U… v Victoria 2-2
Feb 07 Lobos U… v CD Olim… 0-1
Feb 02 Lobos U… v Olancho 1-1
Jan 29 Lobos U… v Atlétic… 1-1
Jan 25 Lobos U… v CD Mara… 1-1
Dec 07 Lobos U… v Real Es… 0-0
Dec 04 Lobos U… v CD Mara… 2-0
Nov 28 Lobos U… v CD Mota… 0-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 27, 2025 Génesis 2-3 Lobos Upnfm
Jul 23, 2025 Lobos Upnfm 2-1 Génesis
Mar 12, 2025 Lobos Upnfm 1-1 Génesis
Jan 25, 2025 Génesis 4-0 Lobos Upnfm
Oct 20, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 1-4 Génesis
Aug 10, 2024 Génesis 3-0 Lobos Upnfm
Apr 28, 2024 Génesis 1-0 Lobos Upnfm
Mar 05, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 0-0 Génesis
Oct 18, 2023 Génesis 1-0 Lobos Upnfm
Aug 19, 2023 Lobos Upnfm 1-0 Génesis
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.