Primera A · Mar 02, 2026 01:30
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
2-0 (14%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera A
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Deportes Tolima Form
LLWWD
DOWN
Atlético Nacio… Form
WWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS33%
Under 2.568%
Deportes To… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.6
Over 3.58%
BTTS Yes29%
Home Clean Sheet39%
Away Clean Sheet53%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (20%)
0-1 (19%)
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
0-2 (9%)
1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Deportes Tolimavs
0.57
Atlético Nacio…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Deportes To…-2
Gap#5
Atlético Na…
WR 75% 15 pts
WR 33% 15 pts
Deportes Tolima
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Deporte… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Deporte… v Cúcuta … | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | Deporte… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Deporte… v Once Ca… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Deporte… v Bucaram… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Deporte… v Llaneros | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Deporte… v La Equi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Deporte… v Indepen… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Deporte… v Alianza… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Deporte… v Junior | 0-2 |
Atlético Nacio…
16.0%
| Feb 26 | Atlétic… v Santa Fe | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Atlétic… v Alianza… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Atlétic… v Fortale… | 4-1 |
| Feb 05 | Atlétic… v America… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Atlétic… v Inter M… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Atlétic… v Chico | 4-0 |
| Dec 18 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Atlétic… v America… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 02, 2025 | Deportes Toli… | 0-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 4-3 | Deportes Toli… |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-0 | Deportes Toli… |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Deportes Toli… | 1-1 | Atlético Naci… |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Deportes Toli… | 1-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 3-1 | Deportes Toli… |
| Nov 09, 2023 | Atlético Naci… | 2-3 | Deportes Toli… |
| May 18, 2023 | Deportes Toli… | 2-2 | Atlético Naci… |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Deportes Toli… | 2-2 | Atlético Naci… |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Deportes Toli… | 2-1 | Atlético Naci… |
Key Factors
Atlético Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.