Tocantinense · Mar 07, 2026 19:00

Tocantinópolis
PWR 50
1-2
predicted
Capital
PWR 57
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
Tocantinópolis Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense76
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.7
Attack49
Defense71
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.8
Tocantinópolis Form WWWWW
UP
Capital Form DWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS15%
Under 2.567%
Tocantinópo… Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Capital Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 86% 14% OVER
1.5 59% 41% -
2.5 32% 69% UNDER
3.5 14% 86% UNDER
4.5 5% 95% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.0
Over 3.514%
BTTS Yes39%
Home Clean Sheet42%
Away Clean Sheet33%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Tocantinópolis
vs
0.20
Capital
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Tocantinópo…
-1
Gap
#1
Capital
WR 37% 27 pts WR 50% 34 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Tocantinópolis19766191327
Capital18972251534
Tocantinópolis 20.0%
Feb 21 Tocanti… v Gurupi 0-2
Feb 15 Tocanti… v Palmeir… 0-1
Feb 07 Tocanti… v Araguaí… 1-0
Jan 31 Tocanti… v Guarabi… 2-0
Jan 24 Tocanti… v Bela Vi… 2-0
Jan 17 Tocanti… v União C… 0-0
Mar 26 Tocanti… v União C… 0-0
Mar 22 Tocanti… v União C… 1-0
Mar 12 Tocanti… v União C… 3-0
Mar 08 Tocanti… v Araguaí… 0-1
Capital 12.0%
Feb 21 Capital v Palmeir… 1-1
Feb 14 Capital v União C… 3-2
Feb 07 Capital v Gurupi 1-1
Feb 01 Capital v Bela Vi… 1-0
Jan 24 Capital v Guarabi… 1-3
Jan 17 Capital v Araguaí… 1-1
Apr 23 Capital v Remo 1-1
Apr 23 Capital v Remo 1-1
Apr 19 Capital v Santos 1-3
Apr 14 Capital v Santa H… 6-0
Head-to-Head (9)
Feb 22, 2025 Capital 2-3 Tocantinópolis
Mar 24, 2024 Tocantinópolis 1-0 Capital
Mar 19, 2024 Capital 2-3 Tocantinópolis
Feb 21, 2024 Capital 2-1 Tocantinópolis
Feb 15, 2024 Tocantinópolis 1-0 Capital
Apr 09, 2023 Tocantinópolis 4-3 Capital
Apr 02, 2023 Capital 1-2 Tocantinópolis
Mar 12, 2023 Capital 0-0 Tocantinópolis
Jan 22, 2022 Capital 2-1 Tocantinópolis
Key Factors
Tocantinópolis in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.