Premier League · Mar 01, 2026 14:00
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
Nottingham Forest
PWR 30
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
2 - 1
FT
Nottingham Forest
PWR 30
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Brighton & Hove Albion to win (85% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
85%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.43x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.97x
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
43Attack30
60Defense56
Goals/G
1.41.0
Conc/G
1.31.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Brighton & Hov…
LWDWW
STABLE
Nottingham For…
LLWDL
DOWN
Key Players
Brighton & Hov…
Pascal GroĂź
1G
Yasin Ayari
1A
Kaoru Mitoma
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Georginio Rutter
Nottingham For…
Morgan Gibbs-Wh…
1G
Elliot Anderson
Murillo
Ola Aina
Igor Jesus
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Brighton & Hov…vs
0.73
Nottingham For…Goal Probability
Brighton & …
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Nottingham …
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-0 (12%)1-2 (8%)0-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Brighton & …+3
Gap#17
Nottingham …
WR 40% 37 pts
WR 27% 28 pts
Brighton & Hov…
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Brighto… v Wycombe | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Brighto… v Stockpo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Bolton | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Brentfo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Brighto… v Rotherh… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Brighto… v Liverpo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Brighto… v Aston V… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Brighto… v Crystal… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Brighto… v Port Va… | 2-2 |
| Feb 03 | Brighto… v Doncast… | 1-2 |
Nottingham For…
6.0%
| Feb 26 | Notting… v Fenerba… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Notting… v Liverpo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Notting… v Fenerba… | 0-3 |
| Feb 11 | Notting… v Wolves | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Notting… v Leeds | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Notting… v Crystal… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Notting… v Ferencv… | 4-0 |
| Jan 25 | Notting… v Brentfo… | 0-2 |
| Jan 22 | Notting… v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Notting… v Arsenal | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Nottingham Fo… | 0-2 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Brighton & Ho… | 0-0 | Nottingham Fo… |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Nottingham Fo… | 7-0 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Brighton & Ho… | 2-2 | Nottingham Fo… |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Brighton & Ho… | 2-2 | Nottingham Fo… |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Brighton & Ho… | 1-0 | Nottingham Fo… |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Brighton & Ho… | 1-0 | Nottingham Fo… |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Nottingham Fo… | 2-3 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Nottingham Fo… | 2-3 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Apr 26, 2023 | Nottingham Fo… | 3-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
58%
Market
52%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Brighton & Hove Albion in strong form (3W in last 5)
Nottingham Forest struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.