Premier League · Mar 01, 2026 15:00
Hamrun Spartans
PWR 35
Floriana
PWR 35
Hamrun Spartans
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Floriana
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Hamrun Spartans Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.36x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.93x
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Hamrun Spartans
WWDLL
STABLE
Floriana
WDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (37.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Hamrun Spartansvs
0.20
FlorianaGoal Probability
Hamrun Spar…
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Floriana
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Hamrun Spar…-1
Gap#1
Floriana
WR 67% 19 pts
WR 50% 21 pts
Hamrun Spartans
10.0%
| Feb 23 | Hamrun … v Marsaxl… | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Hamrun … v Hiberni… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Hamrun … v Zabbar … | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Hamrun … v Hiberni… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Hamrun … v Naxxar … | 4-0 |
| Feb 03 | Hamrun … v Gżira U… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Hamrun … v Sliema … | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Hamrun … v Fgura U… | 5-0 |
| Jan 24 | Hamrun … v Vallett… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Hamrun … v Tarxien… | 2-1 |
Floriana
6.0%
| Feb 22 | Floriana v Hiberni… | 4-1 |
| Feb 18 | Floriana v Marsaxl… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Floriana v Tarxien… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Floriana v Hässleh… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Floriana v Gżira U… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Floriana v Olimpia | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Floriana v Jendoub… | 1-3 |
| Feb 04 | Floriana v Vallett… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Floriana v Zabbar … | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Floriana v Trelleb… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 07, 2026 | Floriana | 0-2 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Floriana | 1-3 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| May 05, 2025 | Floriana | 0-0 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Floriana | 0-0 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Floriana | 0-0 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| Dec 08, 2024 | Floriana | 1-2 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Hamrun Sparta… | 1-1 | Floriana |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Floriana | 0-5 | Hamrun Sparta… |
| Jan 06, 2024 | Hamrun Sparta… | 1-0 | Floriana |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Hamrun Sparta… | 1-0 | Floriana |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
48%
Market
51%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Floriana struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.